Polydata
JustCrazy

@JustCrazy

#3,067,92529

0xc21ea96be762bb55041529af6e386e7c53b80215

~231d· 814 markets · 946704 tradesVol: $208,377,123 @SkewDealer2026-07-31 13:20:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (235/446)11.3/20
0.88x (win $61,196 / loss $69,191)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3930/15
Sortino -2.5120/10
$-0.0765 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 368 (446 markets)10/10
42/77 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 8152% of peak ($8,345 / $102)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
DCA Master
Avg 52.9 entries/market
Whale
$104,522 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,355$35,701Vol: $116,244,086
SPORTS#1,881,302$-210,701Vol: $63,162,960
🎭 CULTURE#2,433$2,777Vol: $11,612,245
📈 ECONOMICS#1,083$4,784Vol: $11,232,378
💰 FINANCE#3,034$1,536Vol: $6,107,711
💻 TECH#983$1,627Vol: $12,349
CRYPTO#48,650$378Vol: $1,700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-164,334
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$208,377,123
Total Redeem
$10,475
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
814
total markets
Trades
78552B / 16397S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~231d

Periods

#2
Today
$75
Vol: $87,935
Week
$592
Vol: $1,866,316
Month
$-137,840
Vol: $24,323,486
All Time
$-164,334
Vol: $208,377,123

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
641W / 425L events
Realized PnL
$-164,983
Win Rate
60%
641W / 425L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$260
Avg Loss
$-333

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,388 (0.14781826270796058% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10,938
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,313
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,137
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,776
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,439
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,101
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,952
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1,787
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,500
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,208

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51,214
Celtics vs. Heat$-4,769
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,775
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-1,485
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-992
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?$-880
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-852
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-762
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$-660
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-651

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.124
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.199
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1956.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
19.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
65 min
Avg Trades / Session
88.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 19.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1956 trades/day — automation1.7 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)34.8%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 8:17:19 PM9 trades$7,07910 min
4/7/2026, 7:54:07 PM237 trades$4,919229 min
4/1/2026, 2:08:19 PM24 trades$4,7132 min
4/3/2026, 10:47:53 AM99 trades$4,59187 min
3/5/2026, 11:15:17 AM1 trades$4,3580 min
7/7/2026, 5:56:26 PM23 trades$4,0203 min
4/8/2026, 2:14:47 PM326 trades$3,858251 min
5/9/2026, 11:12:50 AM28 trades$3,46016 min
1/6/2026, 11:09:59 AM1 trades$3,2790 min
5/18/2026, 1:04:16 PM184 trades$2,92343 min
4/4/2026, 4:29:53 PM103 trades$2,47241 min
1/12/2026, 8:35:40 AM5 trades$2,3772 min
1/29/2026, 12:11:02 PM4 trades$2,2577 min
5/4/2026, 8:14:14 AM51 trades$2,17953 min
4/28/2026, 12:28:48 PM147 trades$2,171103 min
1/6/2026, 3:05:01 PM1 trades$2,1670 min
6/12/2026, 3:29:10 AM28 trades$2,08840 min
7/16/2026, 9:21:53 AM21 trades$2,0677 min
2/24/2026, 2:12:22 AM2 trades$2,0515 min
7/11/2026, 12:00:44 PM11 trades$2,03013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-11-26 20:00:00
2025-12-26 20:00:00
2026-02-01 16:30:00
2026-03-19 09:09:23
2026-04-07 16:00:00
2026-05-31 06:00:00
2026-07-20 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.85/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.2 / M0.1 / H34.8