JustCrazy

@JustCrazy

#4,37623

0xc21ea96be762bb55041529af6e386e7c53b80215

~276d· 534 markets · 1075468 tradesVol: $237,786,297 @SkewDealer2026-09-22 23:19:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (126/262)9/20
0.72x (win $19,809 / loss $27,330)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5500/15
Sortino -0.5820/10
$-0.3048 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 581 (262 markets)9.6/10
56/120 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 204% of peak ($22,728 / $11,165)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+38,851
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 52.0 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,576$29,743Vol: $141,800,868
SPORTS#14,975$2,947Vol: $64,569,844
📈 ECONOMICS#1,242$3,983Vol: $12,396,668
🎭 CULTURE#4,581$1,144Vol: $11,877,980
💰 FINANCE#3,645$1,196Vol: $6,275,413
💻 TECH#1,022$1,627Vol: $12,349
CRYPTO#45,755$378Vol: $1,700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,851
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$237,786,297
Total Redeem
$10,475
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
534
total markets
Trades
18272B / 3277S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~276d

Periods

#2
Today
$-192
Vol: $511,134
Week
$1,371
Vol: $2,539,658
Month
$-26,880
Vol: $23,034,884
All Time
$38,851
Vol: $237,786,297

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
643W / 457L events
Realized PnL
$38,851
Win Rate
58%
643W / 457L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$157
Avg Loss
$-204

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,250 (0.1866127269516854% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,511
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,985
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1,754
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,568
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,262
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$785
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$734
Will Google reach $355 in April?$706
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$527
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $500 before 2026??$471

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-23,733
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$-372
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-296
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-212
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-207
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-157
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$-154
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$-148
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$-137
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-134

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
739
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.511
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.6%
Top-5 markets
35.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3526.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.3m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
24.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 391s — normal for humanCV 24.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3526 trades/day — automation1.8 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
51.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)36.4%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2026, 11:09:59 AM1 trades$3,2790 min
5/18/2026, 1:05:06 PM6 trades$2,5259 min
4/7/2026, 11:12:33 PM3 trades$1,8953 min
7/16/2026, 9:21:53 AM19 trades$1,8790 min
4/8/2026, 4:32:37 PM5 trades$1,7755 min
6/3/2026, 1:44:30 PM2 trades$1,1480 min
4/3/2026, 4:48:57 PM18 trades$1,0911 min
2/27/2026, 4:38:03 PM1 trades$1,0280 min
1/10/2026, 4:02:12 PM4 trades$8850 min
6/4/2026, 2:00:13 AM2 trades$6690 min
4/8/2026, 8:20:35 PM14 trades$63911 min
11/22/2025, 8:45:01 PM1 trades$6100 min
4/1/2026, 1:32:51 AM1 trades$5810 min
4/4/2026, 9:15:13 PM3 trades$5217 min
1/29/2026, 1:51:58 PM1 trades$5010 min
2/20/2026, 8:48:14 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/15/2026, 3:46:58 PM27 trades$4913 min
4/22/2026, 12:02:18 PM1 trades$4570 min
4/3/2026, 10:12:25 AM40 trades$4346 min
4/14/2026, 4:05:45 PM32 trades$4299 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
02-17
03-31
04-25
05-19
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 51.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.5 / M0 / H36.4