Polydata

@Kingdmandan

#1,96737

0xb915070c8007b1bdf4b1ef04e56b066a022e8da5

1550d· 178 markets · 3385 tradesVol: $5,899,5402026-07-28T12:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 1.08x3/15
Sharpe 0.0291/15
Sortino 0.0330/10
EV $+0.0774/10
HHI 16710/10
Profit Days 57%7/10
DD/Peak 104%0/10

Summary

Kingdmandan is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, participating in 3,385 trades across 178 markets over 270 days. With a net profit of $97,564.86, they rank #1967 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Despite substantial trading volume of nearly $5.9 million, their Smart Score is 37/100, indicating below-average predictive accuracy relative to peers.

The trader’s strategy appears to focus on consistent engagement rather than high-risk bets, reflected in a win rate just above 50% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.75. Kingdmandan does not engage in selling positions or weather markets, suggesting a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging (DCA) style, supported by badges like DCA Master and Diamond Hands. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.03 and max drawdown duration of zero days imply limited volatility management and potential exposure to market fluctuations.

Kingdmandan’s strengths lie in steady volume and an upward equity trend, showcasing persistence and resilience on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and below-average Smart Score highlight risks related to efficiency and timing. The trader’s style may underperform in volatile or fast-moving markets, and the zero sell percentage could limit flexibility in managing downside risk.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+97,565
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 19.0 entries/market
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
Whale
$3,194,231
High Roller
$11,830/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#841$97,254Vol: $5,898,245

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$97,565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,899,540
Total Redeem
$1,738,851
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
178
total markets
Trades
3380B / 5S
Daily Volume
$11,830
Account Age
1550d
since May 1, 2022

Periods

#2
Month
$18,474
Vol: $486,247
All Time
$97,565
Vol: $5,899,540

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
65W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$1,380,095
Win Rate
51%
50W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$14,919
Avg Loss
$-20,698

Top Winners

76ers vs. Knicks$59,154
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)$49,764
Rockets vs. Lakers$49,392
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever$49,117
Spurs vs. Thunder$44,800
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$44,374
Pistons vs. Magic$39,900
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo$39,484
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)$38,599
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever$29,615

Top Losers

Thunder vs. Warriors$-105,268
Nets vs. Thunder$-95,614
Pelicans vs. Rockets$-80,478
Bucks vs. 76ers$-60,267
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves$-57,433
Rockets vs. Nuggets$-48,823
Wizards vs. Hornets$-44,842
Thunder vs. Pistons$-41,786
Clippers vs. Nets$-41,377
Suns vs. Spurs$-36,427

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.029
Sortino
0.033
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — typical for humanSize CV 5.55 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19
Heavy DCA
<=1
92 entries
<=2
127 entries
<=5
149 entries
<=10
158 entries
<=20
162 entries
<=50
166 entries
>50
12 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)57.7%
High (>55c)42.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.4%

Dallas$75,706
Toronto$54,249
Seattle$27,049
Los Angeles$12,823
Chicago$6,748
Atlanta$3,960
Other$-428,109

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
122

Single bracket

<=1
81 brackets
<=2
111 brackets
<=3
119 brackets
<=4
121 brackets
<=5
122 brackets
<=8
122 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/23/2025, 9:33:29 PM2 trades$2,2980 min
11/12/2025, 9:30:29 PM2 trades$11,8910 min
11/25/2025, 11:53:01 AM4 trades$7,2858 min
11/28/2025, 10:41:27 AM2 trades$1,7661 min
11/28/2025, 11:31:45 AM1 trades$10 min
11/28/2025, 12:07:29 PM1 trades$2,1510 min
11/28/2025, 12:27:09 PM1 trades$2300 min
11/28/2025, 11:18:39 PM6 trades$14,3501 min
12/14/2025, 1:35:09 PM1 trades$1,0110 min
12/15/2025, 12:26:37 PM4 trades$14,4002 min
12/15/2025, 12:36:23 PM1 trades$14,4000 min
12/16/2025, 2:27:33 AM1 trades$13,4420 min
12/20/2025, 10:30:30 AM2 trades$20,7161 min
12/20/2025, 10:44:58 AM1 trades$11,0530 min
12/20/2025, 10:50:04 AM1 trades$17,0550 min
12/20/2025, 11:03:06 AM4 trades$29,5776 min
12/30/2025, 12:41:49 PM1 trades$70 min
1/2/2026, 12:18:17 AM1 trades$101,2590 min
1/2/2026, 12:59:33 AM1 trades$4,0090 min
1/5/2026, 3:33:57 AM2 trades$3,0370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-13
02-26
04-21
05-28
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event