@Kraken12

#87,98932

0x2f2be24a68a8ede74fc4ce53730c3ab50cbc650b

~43d· 25 markets · 77 tradesVol: $128,5602026-09-21 20:14:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (4/24)0/20
1.12x (win $3,785 / loss $3,384)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.60611.4/15
Sortino 1.07410/10
$+0.0694 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 1781 (24 markets)3.6/10
3/19 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($1,741 / $1,489)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+871
Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,388$-794Vol: $109,022
⚽ SPORTS#35,812$1,084Vol: $16,916
🎭 CULTURE#6,647$652Vol: $2,233
📢 MENTIONS#169,390$-109Vol: $389

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$832
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,560
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
58B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Week
$-15
Vol: $0
Month
$-15
Vol: $0
All Time
$832
Vol: $128,560

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$871
Win Rate
17%
4W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$946
Avg Loss
$-169

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,777 (4.338394569699197% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2,114
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$911
Will Biden drop out on July 21?$752
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$7

Top Losers

Maduro out in 2025?$-1,498
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$-424
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$-285
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-178
Will Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31?$-169
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$-140
Biden seen in public today? $-100
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?$-99
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" during CNN interview?$-89
Maduro out before September?$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.058
HHI
3108
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.070
Kelly %
12.9%
Half-Kelly
6.5%
Top-1 market
53.8%
Top-5 markets
77.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2206s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)1.7%

Sessions

#12
10/9/2025, 10:22:18 PM1 trades$2,1480 min
9/13/2025, 5:09:16 PM1 trades$1,1830 min
10/13/2025, 4:39:17 PM1 trades$1,0030 min
10/11/2025, 1:57:16 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
7/21/2024, 6:25:29 PM1 trades$8520 min
7/5/2026, 9:46:58 PM2 trades$6670 min
7/14/2026, 7:46:22 PM2 trades$6200 min
7/5/2026, 9:00:16 PM2 trades$5560 min
7/7/2026, 8:29:46 PM2 trades$4440 min
9/2/2025, 5:48:00 PM1 trades$4240 min
9/13/2025, 1:05:23 AM1 trades$3920 min
9/10/2025, 6:39:57 PM1 trades$3400 min
7/16/2024, 8:44:39 PM1 trades$3140 min
7/20/2024, 12:43:46 AM2 trades$3004 min
7/25/2024, 9:41:41 PM1 trades$2820 min
12/27/2025, 4:41:11 PM1 trades$2600 min
7/19/2024, 11:58:40 PM1 trades$2000 min
8/5/2024, 1:23:25 PM1 trades$1910 min
7/26/2024, 4:52:54 PM2 trades$1821 min
7/23/2024, 2:24:29 PM2 trades$1190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-21
07-27
08-24
10-09
10-28
12-27
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 79 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.5 / M13.8 / H1.7