Kulborg

@Kulborg

#17,31480

0xf66ceb07affeed8b86737de32ef3fbec02bf4ab1

~444d· 8730 markets · 103693 tradesVol: $2,479,0802026-08-04 18:54:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (2638/8567)0.4/20
2.10x (win $12,681 / loss $6,047)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.63215/15
Sortino 22.53510/10
$+0.4124 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 20 (8567 markets)10/10
261/391 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($1,161 / $7,794)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+8,190
Lottery Player
95% entries < $0.20
Consistent
261/391 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#2,312$3,002Vol: $851,313
SPORTS#27,020$1,610Vol: $544,888
🏛️ POLITICS#13,702$1,529Vol: $370,757
CRYPTO#107,864$77Vol: $240,140
🌤️ WEATHER#2,005$731Vol: $139,119
💰 FINANCE#9,797$291Vol: $104,443
📢 MENTIONS#1,959$582Vol: $72,436
📈 ECONOMICS#15,491$67Vol: $7,282
💻 TECH#179,701$-1Vol: $1,677

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,479,080
Total Redeem
$60
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8730
total markets
Trades
73889B / 29804S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~444d

Periods

#2
Today
$127
Vol: $945
Week
$227
Vol: $7,316
Month
$305
Vol: $10,841
All Time
$8,190
Vol: $2,479,080

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
2638W / 5929L events
Realized PnL
$8,190
Win Rate
31%
2638W / 5929L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $999 (0.12201861636203122% of PnL)

Top Winners

Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner$366
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$361
Burnley FC leading at halftime?$273
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$198
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14?$196
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-21.5)$189
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)$182
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?$179
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$177
Will "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?$167

Top Losers

Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-90

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.242
Sortino
0.893
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.415
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
173.7
Very active
Markets / Day
14.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
47 min
Avg Trades / Session
317.6

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 6.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock174 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)94.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)4.8%

Sessions

#12
8/8/2025, 10:28:53 PM109 trades$29755 min
6/1/2025, 10:04:59 PM102 trades$26359 min
2/1/2026, 8:43:36 PM685 trades$254154 min
12/19/2024, 8:45:08 PM5118 trades$250218 min
1/12/2026, 12:44:30 AM864 trades$243233 min
9/2/2025, 11:30:20 AM4 trades$2341 min
5/29/2025, 7:19:07 AM2 trades$2331 min
6/3/2025, 5:15:08 PM13 trades$23017 min
9/2/2025, 1:51:04 PM1 trades$2200 min
9/2/2025, 1:37:18 PM1 trades$2200 min
12/20/2024, 12:28:34 AM3778 trades$181208 min
8/17/2025, 9:55:04 AM72 trades$16367 min
8/16/2025, 10:17:44 PM4 trades$1485 min
2/28/2026, 3:14:51 PM214 trades$14599 min
2/9/2026, 1:02:47 AM370 trades$133135 min
3/13/2026, 10:52:51 AM49 trades$13315 min
3/3/2026, 11:40:59 PM461 trades$130170 min
3/16/2026, 5:13:55 AM17 trades$12916 min
1/1/2026, 1:05:23 AM201 trades$12713 min
3/2/2026, 8:09:35 AM24 trades$12423 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
08-15
11-02
01-10
03-16
05-20
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 97 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L94.6 / M0.5 / H4.8