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@Last-Temptation

#2,721,77726

0xec690ecdbe75275f390d9460b112dfc53ae36fba

49d· 1648 markets · 11011 tradesVol: $3,012,4232026-05-16T12:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 39%5/20
Profit Factor 1.03x3/15
Sharpe 0.0431/15
Sortino 0.0781/10
EV $+0.0312/10
HHI 4910/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 76%0/10

Summary

Last-Temptation is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 11,011 trades executed over 49 days across 660 markets. Despite a high total volume of over $3 million, the trader currently holds a negative net PnL of $-33,344, placing them at rank #2,721,777 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score is below average at 26/100, reflecting challenges in consistently generating profits.

The trader appears to employ an automated strategy, as indicated by a bot score of 70/100, with a very low sell percentage of 1% and no exposure to weather markets. Last-Temptation’s win rate stands at 44.8%, combined with a low profit factor of 0.27, suggesting a high-risk approach that frequently results in losses. The portfolio value is relatively low at $1,354, and the Sharpe ratio of 0.04 points to minimal risk-adjusted returns. Their style may involve holding positions long-term, given the “Diamond Hands” badge, but the equity trend shows a consistent decline.

Key strengths for Last-Temptation include their high trading volume and use of automated tools that enable rapid market participation. However, the trader faces significant risks due to a persistently negative PnL, low win rate, and poor profit factor, which together indicate difficulty in capitalizing on Polymarket opportunities. The downward equity trend and below-average smart score suggest the need for strategy reassessment to improve performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Whale
$508,682
High Roller
$10,381/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,646,464$-33,357Vol: $3,012,351

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-33,344
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,012,423
Total Redeem
$16,269
Portfolio
$1,354
Predictions
1648
total markets
Trades
10871B / 140S
Daily Volume
$10,381
Account Age
49d
since Apr 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-579
Vol: $20,399
Week
$-18,299
Vol: $326,062
Month
$-24,175
Vol: $681,661
All Time
$-33,344
Vol: $3,012,423

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
39%
318W / 504L events
Realized PnL
$172,648
Win Rate
45%
56W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$255
Avg Loss
$-781

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Pla$1,663
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$1,421
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St$944
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$878
Thunder vs. Lakers$729
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud$664
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$655
Knicks vs. 76ers$517
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$516
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$401

Top Losers

Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu$-9,378
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$-5,896
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-4,883
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-3,385
Pistons vs. Magic$-3,329
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulp$-1,940
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$-1,537
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Ome$-1,431
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$-1,397
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-1,249

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.043
Sortino
0.078
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
247.5
Very active
Markets / Day
14.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.1

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 0.95 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness248 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage859 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
67 entries
<=2
122 entries
<=5
242 entries
<=10
373 entries
<=20
491 entries
<=50
616 entries
>50
44 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)47.5%
High (>55c)41.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 77.4%

Paris$17
Miami$0
Lucknow$0
Toronto$0
Chicago$0
Shanghai$0
Seattle$0
Milan$0
Madrid$-79
Atlanta$-1,094
Other$-38,429

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
655

Single bracket

<=1
650 brackets
<=2
655 brackets
<=3
655 brackets
<=4
655 brackets
<=5
655 brackets
<=8
655 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 12:25:49 AM1 trades$10 min
4/2/2026, 3:36:07 AM1 trades$740 min
4/2/2026, 3:54:15 AM3 trades$1245 min
4/2/2026, 5:46:41 AM2 trades$940 min
4/2/2026, 6:00:17 AM10 trades$2737 min
4/2/2026, 6:16:09 AM7 trades$4114 min
4/2/2026, 6:25:35 AM2 trades$730 min
4/2/2026, 6:32:03 AM1 trades$770 min
4/2/2026, 9:04:41 AM10 trades$32614 min
4/2/2026, 9:42:57 AM1 trades$810 min
4/2/2026, 9:48:23 AM7 trades$3739 min
4/2/2026, 10:07:35 AM9 trades$21810 min
4/2/2026, 10:27:31 AM1 trades$20 min
4/2/2026, 10:36:39 AM3 trades$1492 min
4/2/2026, 10:45:25 AM4 trades$3533 min
4/2/2026, 10:55:17 AM4 trades$939 min
4/2/2026, 11:10:05 AM3 trades$547 min
4/2/2026, 11:31:05 AM2 trades$680 min
4/2/2026, 11:45:15 AM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 12:18:31 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-10
04-18
04-26
05-04
05-12
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event