Polydata

@Late-Grammar

#1,49930

0x7347d3291b321d2ee8d43d24aff244e7fb8c3d35

90d· 25454 markets · 10037 tradesVol: $7,729,5122026-06-24T23:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 8%0/10

Summary

Late-Grammar is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 10,037 trades executed over 27 days across 652 different markets. Despite a substantial total volume of $7.7 million, their net profit stands at $113,912.43, placing them at rank #1499 on the global PnL leaderboard. The trader’s Smart Score is below average at 30/100, reflecting challenges in consistently generating returns, while the equity trend shows a decline during their trading period.

The trading style of Late-Grammar appears to be systematic and automated, supported by a high bot score of 80/100 and badges such as 🤖 Bot and 🎯 Sniper. They maintain a high volume of trades with zero sell percentage, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent sell-offs. Their win rate is relatively low at 42.4%, and the profit factor is notably weak at 0.01, suggesting risk-taking that often does not translate into profitable outcomes. Late-Grammar does not engage in weather markets and tends to have a short max drawdown duration, implying quick position turnover.

Late-Grammar’s key strength lies in their ability to sustain high trading volumes and maintain a presence across many markets, supported by automated strategies. However, the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.66) and declining equity trend highlight risks related to poor risk-adjusted returns and potential overtrading or ineffective strategy execution. The low profit factor and win rate further point to challenges in capitalizing on market movements, which could jeopardize long-term profitability despite their substantial trading activity.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+113,912
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$314,273
High Roller
$11,690/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#263$113,912Vol: $7,729,512

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$113,912
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,729,512
Total Redeem
$36,135
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25454
total markets
Trades
10037B / 0S
Daily Volume
$11,690
Account Age
90d
since Mar 29, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$175,478
Win Rate
42%
275W / 373L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-752

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$92
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$22

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-3,394
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$-3,284
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-2,898
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-2,805
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-2,801
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-2,434
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-2,353
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$-2,272
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-2,261
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-2,246

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.664
Sortino
-0.650
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.887
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
373.3
Very active
Markets / Day
24.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.4

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
56% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 1.57 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness373 trades/day — automation24 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
32 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
166 entries
<=10
290 entries
<=20
465 entries
<=50
643 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)46%
High (>55c)42.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.6%

Other$-278,894

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
652

Single bracket

<=1
652 brackets
<=2
652 brackets
<=3
652 brackets
<=4
652 brackets
<=5
652 brackets
<=8
652 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 12:32:17 PM10 trades$386 min
4/1/2026, 12:45:13 PM4 trades$680 min
4/1/2026, 1:30:25 PM18 trades$4905 min
4/2/2026, 1:05:45 AM74 trades$2,4799 min
4/2/2026, 1:20:27 AM87 trades$3,2299 min
4/2/2026, 1:35:23 AM34 trades$1,3515 min
4/2/2026, 11:20:29 AM21 trades$7225 min
4/2/2026, 12:20:15 PM69 trades$2,42310 min
4/2/2026, 1:00:19 PM27 trades$1,3874 min
4/2/2026, 1:30:19 PM95 trades$4,61814 min
4/2/2026, 2:00:23 PM53 trades$3,3944 min
4/2/2026, 2:15:15 PM67 trades$3,80810 min
4/2/2026, 2:40:15 PM57 trades$2,8014 min
4/2/2026, 2:50:17 PM117 trades$6,36320 min
4/2/2026, 4:00:13 PM28 trades$8225 min
4/2/2026, 4:15:21 PM29 trades$8494 min
4/2/2026, 5:50:15 PM22 trades$7244 min
4/3/2026, 1:30:41 AM24 trades$8845 min
4/3/2026, 9:15:35 AM13 trades$4354 min
4/4/2026, 6:25:15 AM5 trades$3595 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-05
04-09
04-13
04-17
04-21
04-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event