Polydata

@Laurenman

#3,067,29763

0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b

~234d· 1132 markets · 38036 tradesVol: $17,844,0202026-07-31 23:29:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (868/1021)20/20
1.13x (win $478,499 / loss $422,319)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.58210.9/15
Sortino 0.7727.7/10
$+0.0056 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 46 (1021 markets)10/10
149/202 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($113,664 / $102,499)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 85%
DCA Master
Avg 32.2 entries/market
Whale
$10,027,079 invested
Consistent
149/202 profitable days
High Roller
$20,547/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,983$-59,617Vol: $14,131,203
💰 FINANCE#656,458$-6,324Vol: $920,002
CRYPTO#9,871$4,877Vol: $847,218
📈 ECONOMICS#678,498$-1,273Vol: $798,326
🎭 CULTURE#814,251$-2,958Vol: $614,257
SPORTS#23,928$1,828Vol: $363,598
📢 MENTIONS#4,189$185Vol: $87,213
🌤️ WEATHER#279,766$-69Vol: $34,875
💻 TECH#34,842$2Vol: $177

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-63,194
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,844,020
Total Redeem
$14,887
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1132
total markets
Trades
24240B / 13796S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~234d

Periods

#2
Today
$-389
Vol: $49,128
Week
$-632
Vol: $345,213
Month
$-5,705
Vol: $1,604,792
All Time
$-63,194
Vol: $17,844,020

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
85%
868W / 153L events
Realized PnL
$-63,016
Win Rate
85%
868W / 153L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$551
Avg Loss
$-2,815

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74,289 (1.1789015400972778% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$31,578
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$23,980
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$18,731
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17,207
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$14,527
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$12,328
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$10,214
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8,335
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,995
Iran leadership change by May 31?$7,897

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-54,396
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-40,600
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-32,041
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-17,588
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-17,449
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-17,141
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-13,223
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-13,164
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-12,074
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-11,982

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.030
Sortino
0.024
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
6.2%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.9
Very active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.6m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading2.3 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)94.6%

Sessions

#12
2/3/2026, 4:16:48 PM79 trades$64,84118 min
3/3/2026, 12:41:27 AM23 trades$56,83914 min
3/2/2026, 11:15:45 PM49 trades$43,88831 min
3/14/2026, 10:38:27 PM34 trades$43,37317 min
2/4/2026, 9:55:31 PM3 trades$39,0425 min
1/31/2026, 10:07:34 AM34 trades$36,07830 min
2/4/2026, 10:27:19 PM8 trades$34,83910 min
3/4/2026, 6:13:35 PM31 trades$34,65514 min
6/7/2026, 7:38:21 PM20 trades$34,36918 min
2/14/2026, 4:25:41 PM56 trades$33,68048 min
1/31/2026, 11:08:28 AM21 trades$33,0596 min
2/28/2026, 10:19:37 AM102 trades$31,29888 min
2/3/2026, 8:42:06 PM81 trades$29,94118 min
1/23/2026, 7:34:16 PM145 trades$29,26145 min
3/5/2026, 9:57:09 PM1 trades$28,8000 min
3/3/2026, 8:15:17 PM17 trades$27,69211 min
3/16/2026, 9:14:27 PM41 trades$27,13454 min
6/9/2026, 10:25:25 PM85 trades$26,89233 min
5/31/2026, 9:49:22 PM9 trades$26,6214 min
1/29/2026, 7:53:00 PM72 trades$26,45786 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-16
01-24
02-26
04-02
05-07
06-14
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 67 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M4.3 / H94.6