@LeRoiSoleil

#9,74089

0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3

~166d· 442 markets · 8005 tradesVol: $2,443,6902026-08-02 07:19:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (229/385)14.7/20
2.53x (win $229,055 / loss $90,534)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.48815/15
Sortino 9.08210/10
$+0.1220 per $1 invested6.1/10
HHI 370 (385 markets)10/10
78/122 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($17,129 / $155,651)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+15,852
DCA Master
Avg 17.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,135,732 invested
Consistent
78/122 profitable days
High Roller
$5,282/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,846$-9,470Vol: $1,671,797
SPORTS#4,698$11,714Vol: $362,392
💰 FINANCE#659$8,274Vol: $236,440
📈 ECONOMICS#680,940$-3,778Vol: $133,229
CRYPTO#5,610$8,942Vol: $37,584
💻 TECH#245,524$-67Vol: $1,447
🎭 CULTURE#541,993$-1Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,716
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,443,690
Total Redeem
$17,679
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
442
total markets
Trades
2231B / 5774S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

Periods

#2
Today
$-72
Vol: $0
Week
$2,794
Vol: $0
Month
$697
Vol: $5,155
All Time
$15,716
Vol: $2,443,690

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
229W / 156L events
Realized PnL
$15,852
Win Rate
59%
229W / 156L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$1,000
Avg Loss
$-608

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $91,499 (5.771985824103314% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$45,647
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$33,081
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$12,771
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$9,663
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$7,027
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$6,963
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$6,721
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$6,159
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5,836
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,644

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-16,868
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-16,632
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-8,322
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-6,662
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-6,460
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,072
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-4,360
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3,386
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-2,774
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-2,399

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.182
Sortino
0.299
HHI
274
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.135
Kelly %
0.7%
Half-Kelly
0.4%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
30.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 2.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)32%
High (>55c)59.5%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 6:43:48 PM126 trades$97,3359 min
6/15/2026, 1:48:24 AM20 trades$87,0881 min
6/14/2026, 10:44:27 PM58 trades$48,5806 min
6/7/2026, 8:18:12 AM68 trades$40,00511 min
5/24/2026, 3:56:39 PM13 trades$30,4224 min
6/16/2026, 9:19:59 PM30 trades$28,2021 min
6/1/2026, 5:02:20 PM2 trades$25,7330 min
6/7/2026, 11:06:12 AM15 trades$22,9401 min
6/8/2026, 4:50:49 AM5 trades$22,3400 min
6/13/2026, 6:34:13 PM21 trades$20,6514 min
6/16/2026, 4:13:28 PM28 trades$20,2182 min
4/24/2026, 11:55:18 AM32 trades$19,7444 min
4/22/2026, 8:11:46 PM40 trades$19,0911 min
5/27/2026, 5:26:08 PM32 trades$18,5094 min
4/12/2026, 8:46:41 AM11 trades$17,8310 min
7/5/2026, 10:18:08 PM10 trades$17,6331 min
4/11/2026, 6:13:27 PM30 trades$17,2454 min
4/22/2026, 7:00:40 PM30 trades$16,9213 min
4/20/2026, 8:24:40 AM65 trades$16,7640 min
4/16/2026, 7:44:52 AM38 trades$16,6053 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
02-18
03-14
04-24
05-27
06-24
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M32 / H59.5