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@Legitimate-Brewer

#2,849,85513

0xbb8ef6381e4a35b4124584cfce1c73137e2508c1

124d· 11819 markets · 10391 tradesVol: $1,815,5762026-06-15T05:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 9%0/20
Profit Factor 0.94x2/15
HHI 2410/10
Profit Days 36%2/10
DD/Peak 218%0/10

Summary

Legitimate-Brewer is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 10,391 trades across 2,976 markets over 117 days. Despite extensive trading volume totaling over $1.8 million, the trader currently holds a net loss of approximately $12,600 and ranks #2,849,855 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at $1,772, reflecting an upward equity trend, though overall profitability remains negative with a Sharpe ratio slightly below zero.

This trader appears to favor a high-frequency, semi-automated trading style, combining bot-assisted and manual strategies as indicated by a 60/100 bot score. Legitimate-Brewer’s 66.7% win rate and profit factor of 1.72 suggest a reasonably consistent positive outcome on winning trades. Their risk profile leans toward contrarian positions, supported by a low sell percentage of 8% and badges like "Contrarian" and "Diamond Hands," indicating a tendency to hold positions through volatility rather than quick exits.

Legitimate-Brewer’s main strength lies in disciplined trade execution and a steady equity growth despite current losses, which could signal potential for improvement with experience. However, their beginner smart score of 13/100 and a negative Sharpe ratio highlight concerns about risk-adjusted returns and capital preservation. The absence of weather market exposure shows a preference for other categories, but their relatively large max drawdown duration of zero days suggests careful risk management on drawdowns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
8% sell
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$129,887
High Roller
$1,110/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#7,724$4,975Vol: $844,260
CRYPTO#1,504,721$-539Vol: $59,706
🎭 CULTURE#11,545$263Vol: $893
📢 MENTIONS#35,170$2Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,619
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,815,576
Total Redeem
$29,799
Portfolio
$1,772
Predictions
11819
total markets
Trades
9544B / 847S
Daily Volume
$1,110
Account Age
124d
since Feb 22, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-695
Vol: $9,632
Week
$-695
Vol: $46,605
Month
$-1,709
Vol: $314,487
All Time
$-12,619
Vol: $1,815,576

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
9%
243W / 2370L events
Realized PnL
$68,527
Win Rate
67%
170W / 85L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$64
Avg Loss
$-75

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,162 (25.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenone$438
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$407
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand$317
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner$316
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$291
Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi$283
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova$276
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Jose Pereira$245
Asuncion: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Henrique Rocha$240
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui$221

Top Losers

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner$-643
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo$-613
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$-326
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-222
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta$-221
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-173
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-172
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics$-171
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes$-166
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevic$-147

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
32.1%
Half-Kelly
16.1%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.2
Very active
Markets / Day
26.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 128s — typical for humanSize CV 1.30 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness93 trades/day — mass trading27 markets/day — mass coverage3010 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
1534 entries
<=2
2050 entries
<=5
2608 entries
<=10
2800 entries
<=20
2921 entries
<=50
2971 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.1%
Mid (20-55c)49.6%
High (>55c)27.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.6%

Other$4,165
Madrid$588
Chicago$384
Dallas$220
Atlanta$50
Milan$6
Austin$0
San Francisco$0
Shanghai$0
Shenzhen$0
Beijing$0
Chengdu$0
Wuhan$0
Sao Paulo$0
Wellington$0
Seoul$0
Paris$0
Hong Kong$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
2563

Single bracket

<=1
2225 brackets
<=2
2496 brackets
<=3
2555 brackets
<=4
2563 brackets
<=5
2563 brackets
<=8
2563 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/23/2026, 4:34:54 PM1 trades$30 min
2/23/2026, 4:54:38 PM1 trades$10 min
2/23/2026, 5:20:40 PM1 trades$30 min
2/28/2026, 5:53:29 AM1 trades$30 min
2/28/2026, 6:00:29 AM1 trades$20 min
2/28/2026, 6:30:33 AM1 trades$20 min
3/1/2026, 6:47:05 AM1 trades$20 min
3/1/2026, 7:02:15 AM1 trades$20 min
3/1/2026, 1:00:13 PM1 trades$20 min
3/1/2026, 2:40:31 PM1 trades$30 min
3/1/2026, 3:17:13 PM1 trades$30 min
3/2/2026, 8:15:41 AM1 trades$30 min
3/2/2026, 12:00:25 PM1 trades$20 min
3/2/2026, 12:06:49 PM1 trades$20 min
3/2/2026, 4:45:21 PM1 trades$20 min
3/2/2026, 6:15:41 PM1 trades$20 min
3/2/2026, 8:45:31 PM1 trades$30 min
3/2/2026, 9:00:29 PM1 trades$30 min
3/2/2026, 9:45:25 PM1 trades$30 min
3/2/2026, 11:00:27 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-18
04-06
04-25
05-14
06-02
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event