@LightRose

#2,922,14015

0xc2794730fe00c2ecc99ba6f5910d0cea882e7023

~50d· 1786 markets · 5314 tradesVol: $214,2332026-08-26 09:58:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (469/1785)0/20
1.00x (win $2,836 / loss $2,833)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0130.2/15
Sortino 0.0310.3/10
$+0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 752 (1785 markets)8.7/10
22/50 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 101% of peak ($348 / $345)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#301,106$-687Vol: $213,674
💰 FINANCE#456,062$-1Vol: $393
🎭 CULTURE#252,452$0Vol: $106
🏛️ POLITICS#699,402$-0Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-688
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$214,233
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1786
total markets
Trades
2871B / 2443S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-688
Vol: $214,233

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
469W / 1316L events
Realized PnL
$-688
Win Rate
26%
469W / 1316L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $777 (1.1291587970361763% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on March 27?$522
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?$142
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?$113
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?$67
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 3?$49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?$43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on March 30?$41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?$40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?$38

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 4?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 1?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 1?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on April 3?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 22?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 14?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 13?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 2?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 14?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.002
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.1
Very active
Markets / Day
19.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.6m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading19 markets/day — mass coverage44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)16.5%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 2:30:09 PM135 trades$19,4950 min
4/5/2026, 1:12:17 AM24 trades$16,2850 min
4/3/2026, 11:34:17 AM59 trades$14,4560 min
4/1/2026, 4:14:51 AM32 trades$13,5746 min
4/2/2026, 9:12:33 AM36 trades$5,0472 min
4/1/2026, 1:29:35 PM2 trades$2,2900 min
4/1/2026, 5:40:09 AM4 trades$1,7800 min
5/13/2026, 6:26:51 PM92 trades$1,37037 min
5/15/2026, 3:19:04 AM37 trades$1,17028 min
5/12/2026, 11:25:00 PM62 trades$1,1170 min
5/16/2026, 3:38:32 AM8 trades$1,0900 min
5/15/2026, 9:25:03 AM14 trades$1,03310 min
5/5/2026, 2:33:34 AM6 trades$1,0070 min
5/15/2026, 9:00:17 AM4 trades$1,0070 min
5/12/2026, 1:47:00 PM10 trades$1,00716 min
5/15/2026, 2:23:47 PM5 trades$1,0021 min
5/13/2026, 5:33:24 AM67 trades$9840 min
5/7/2026, 4:54:29 PM16 trades$7650 min
5/9/2026, 4:01:19 AM10 trades$5710 min
5/13/2026, 8:13:53 AM63 trades$49532 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-23
03-31
04-28
05-06
05-14
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.2 / M12.3 / H16.5