@Lilybaeum
#186510x01c78f8873c0c86d6b6b92ff627e3802237ee995
~190d· 6242 markets · 719591 tradesVol: $75,795,7712026-08-02 18:15:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (3143/6238)10.2/20
1.05x (win $214,497 / loss $205,051)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.64212/15
Sortino 0.9679.7/10
$+0.0147 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 17 (6238 markets)10/10
84/190 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($13,358 / $22,504)2.1/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+941,740
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$643,593 invested
High Roller
$3,335/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#128$941,711Vol: $75,792,186
Overview
#1Net PnL
$942,251
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,795,771
Total Redeem
$1,725,135
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6242
total markets
Trades
13055B / 1227S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~190d
Periods
#2Today
$103
Vol: $37,463
Week
$2,427
Vol: $37,463
Month
$-2,032
Vol: $127,205
All Time
$942,251
Vol: $75,795,771
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
10392W / 9173L events
Realized PnL
$941,740
Win Rate
53%
10392W / 9173L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-67
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,976 (0.018026613661824717% of PnL)
Top Winners
Seahawks vs. Patriots$6,638
Wizards vs. Pistons$5,750
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$4,588
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?$3,483
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?$2,799
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$2,733
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$2,620
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$1,964
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?$1,904
Timberwolves vs. Raptors$1,863
Top Losers
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?$-6,121
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$-3,277
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$-2,846
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$-2,571
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-2,426
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$-1,988
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?$-1,776
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$-1,739
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-11?$-1,599
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?$-1,575
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.044
HHI
18
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
5.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3728.5
Very active
Markets / Day
32.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.2
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 3.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3728 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)42.6%
High (>55c)42.6%
Sessions
#122/8/2026, 8:33:35 PM17 trades$16,45814 min
6/6/2026, 7:45:00 PM10 trades$8,3596 min
3/4/2026, 9:37:07 PM13 trades$5,86110 min
6/15/2026, 8:47:22 PM15 trades$4,6737 min
1/28/2026, 8:05:02 PM51 trades$4,26438 min
5/3/2026, 2:00:54 PM11 trades$4,25511 min
3/1/2026, 3:17:15 PM17 trades$3,83920 min
2/10/2026, 9:00:55 PM16 trades$3,70412 min
5/9/2026, 11:41:52 AM9 trades$3,63911 min
3/12/2026, 6:46:37 PM3 trades$3,6261 min
6/17/2026, 4:29:58 AM9 trades$3,5311 min
4/28/2026, 7:20:06 PM9 trades$3,3551 min
4/12/2026, 8:58:39 PM4 trades$3,3333 min
3/4/2026, 7:54:17 PM11 trades$3,05018 min
3/1/2026, 5:28:11 PM33 trades$3,02049 min
4/3/2026, 8:19:01 PM4 trades$2,9081 min
2/14/2026, 8:12:51 PM14 trades$2,89211 min
2/3/2026, 11:58:16 PM17 trades$2,83414 min
2/21/2026, 6:35:30 PM8 trades$2,75610 min
2/17/2026, 5:58:01 PM8 trades$2,6605 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-22
03-25
04-25
05-27
06-27
07-30
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M42.6 / H42.6