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@Limp-Colt

#2,926,30370

0x67bc6af6806df61ba5144b125174ecf5f821d54e

284d· 1790 markets · 57546 tradesVol: $43,932,5182026-06-27T09:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.00x0/15
Sharpe 0.53710/15
Sortino 10742129.09210/10
HHI 15510/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Limp-Colt is a highly active trader on Polymarket with over 57,000 trades conducted across 367 markets during 506 days of activity. Despite this volume, Limp-Colt currently holds a rank of #2,926,303 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net loss of approximately $295,000. The portfolio value stands at around $102,000, and the trader maintains a Smart Score of 70, indicating a generally good strategic approach.

The trading style of Limp-Colt appears to be high-frequency and diversified, engaging in many markets but showing a relatively low win rate of 28.6% and a profit factor of zero. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.54 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the sell percentage is low at 15%, implying a preference for holding positions. The upward equity trend signals consistent growth despite overall negative PnL, and the semi-bot score indicates a combination of automated and manual trading methods.

Limp-Colt’s strengths lie in their high volume, consistency, and ability to maintain an upward equity trend, potentially capitalizing on long-term gains. However, the significant net loss, low win rate, and modest Sharpe ratio highlight risks related to efficiency and profitability. The combination of manual and bot trading might introduce variability, requiring careful monitoring to improve outcomes on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$6,430,951
Consistent
45/45 days
High Roller
$12,709/day

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,760,680$-261,072Vol: $14,631,504
📈 ECONOMICS#666,422$-57,342Vol: $13,457,238
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,003$-4,084Vol: $7,417,044
🎭 CULTURE#801,917$-16,958Vol: $5,005,643
💰 FINANCE#73$45,007Vol: $3,289,733
CRYPTO#78,313$124Vol: $111,156
🌤️ WEATHER#282,298$-519Vol: $14,216
📢 MENTIONS#33,103$2Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-294,718
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,932,518
Total Redeem
$15,296
Portfolio
$102,126
Predictions
1790
total markets
Trades
48825B / 8721S
Daily Volume
$12,709
Account Age
284d
since Sep 23, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$-5,448
Vol: $34,146
Month
$-1,352
Vol: $69,920
All Time
$-294,718
Vol: $43,932,518

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
74W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$483,767
Win Rate
29%
98W / 244L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-25,534

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on $1,921
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1,311
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$440
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean$247
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$130
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$88
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$40

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-399,586
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-229,024
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-226,255
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-199,705
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$-151,430
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$-145,015
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-121,390
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-115,843
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-108,654
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-108,146

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.537
Sortino
inf
HHI
155
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.976
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
336.8
Very active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — typical for humanSize CV 1.80 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.06 — human randomness337 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
139.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
6 entries
<=5
13 entries
<=10
48 entries
<=20
117 entries
<=50
181 entries
>50
170 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)76.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 6.9%

Seoul$-1,797
Munich$-29,992
Madrid$-80,727
Los Angeles$-108,654
Denver$-115,843
Other$-5,888,066

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
206

Single bracket

<=1
168 brackets
<=2
181 brackets
<=3
189 brackets
<=4
192 brackets
<=5
195 brackets
<=8
200 brackets
>8
6 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/5/2026, 5:30:47 AM7 trades$6552 min
1/5/2026, 5:46:53 AM6 trades$600 min
1/5/2026, 6:05:55 AM6 trades$2,6800 min
1/5/2026, 6:19:11 AM12 trades$1,8783 min
1/5/2026, 6:32:03 AM6 trades$300 min
1/5/2026, 7:33:57 AM56 trades$11,4944 min
1/5/2026, 10:22:53 AM4 trades$4682 min
1/5/2026, 10:50:57 AM27 trades$1,59614 min
1/5/2026, 11:40:47 AM15 trades$5,0261 min
1/5/2026, 12:33:19 PM2 trades$11 min
1/5/2026, 12:42:11 PM1 trades$10 min
1/5/2026, 1:21:15 PM1 trades$10 min
1/5/2026, 2:11:57 PM2 trades$30 min
1/5/2026, 2:20:57 PM1 trades$10 min
1/5/2026, 2:27:51 PM1 trades$130 min
1/5/2026, 3:03:55 PM12 trades$2,6070 min
1/6/2026, 7:20:53 AM18 trades$2,4550 min
1/6/2026, 4:58:23 PM6 trades$1,9380 min
1/7/2026, 3:15:59 AM6 trades$2740 min
1/7/2026, 3:41:23 AM1 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-27
03-31
05-16
06-07
07-20
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 139.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event