@Lisbon

#15,17487

0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4

~489d· 557 markets · 11006 tradesVol: $3,307,4072026-08-01 16:06:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (495/541)20/20
2.38x (win $19,362 / loss $8,146)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.24015/15
Sortino 4.49310/10
$+0.0057 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 114 (541 markets)10/10
241/271 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($3,899 / $11,215)7/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+9,659
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,978,695 invested
Consistent
241/271 profitable days
High Roller
$2,889/day
Win Streak
65 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#6,872$4,452Vol: $2,210,190
SPORTS#25,044$1,744Vol: $439,265
📈 ECONOMICS#3,112$988Vol: $311,139
🎭 CULTURE#4,548$1,165Vol: $162,942
💰 FINANCE#7,374$458Vol: $62,416
CRYPTO#44,880$457Vol: $62,004
💻 TECH#3,191$281Vol: $50,376
📢 MENTIONS#5,961$102Vol: $7,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,667
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,307,407
Total Redeem
$27,209
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
557
total markets
Trades
7024B / 3982S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~489d

Periods

#2
Today
$54
Vol: $0
Week
$439
Vol: $56,382
Month
$54
Vol: $0
All Time
$9,667
Vol: $3,307,407

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
92%
495W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$9,659
Win Rate
92%
495W / 46L
Profit Factor
2.38x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-189

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,838 (0.19031802844520462% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$633
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$626
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$579
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$506
Trump out as President by June 30?$500
Xi Jinping out before October?$475
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$415
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$413
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$378
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$357

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,962
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,280
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?$-1,052
Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?$-933
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-792
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$-264
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-260
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$-232
Super Bowl LIX Winner$-231
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-196

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.169
Sortino
0.086
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
10.2%
Half-Kelly
5.1%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.8m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 4.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)32.7%
High (>55c)46.5%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 9:09:28 PM28 trades$49,6716 min
7/29/2026, 8:32:32 PM11 trades$35,3774 min
11/1/2025, 11:44:33 AM1 trades$31,3470 min
7/24/2026, 3:55:57 PM7 trades$25,1331 min
1/4/2026, 2:03:27 PM1 trades$22,5230 min
6/19/2026, 6:25:19 PM6 trades$21,0882 min
1/2/2026, 1:21:59 PM1 trades$21,0030 min
12/27/2025, 6:00:47 PM9 trades$19,9617 min
4/2/2026, 1:12:29 PM18 trades$18,4102 min
6/26/2026, 12:18:40 PM13 trades$17,9314 min
11/10/2025, 11:12:34 PM24 trades$17,85015 min
1/18/2026, 3:59:42 AM25 trades$17,4508 min
6/8/2026, 7:13:48 PM32 trades$16,7386 min
12/9/2025, 12:57:58 PM5 trades$15,8805 min
2/25/2026, 2:23:52 PM2 trades$15,4281 min
7/6/2026, 7:55:49 PM17 trades$15,0880 min
1/3/2026, 4:38:23 PM2 trades$15,0062 min
3/13/2026, 12:59:29 PM2 trades$14,9850 min
7/16/2026, 1:40:59 AM22 trades$14,7081 min
1/18/2026, 1:21:56 PM17 trades$14,57116 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-23
11-29
03-17
07-08
10-29
02-03
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.8 / M32.7 / H46.5