LlamaLoco0000

@LlamaLoco0000

#53852

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a

~473d· 373 markets · 21368 tradesVol: $26,562,511 @LlamaLoco00002026-08-02 02:28:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (106/315)1.8/20
1.41x (win $2,001,851 / loss $1,424,743)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.98215/15
Sortino 3.64010/10
$+0.1288 per $1 invested6.4/10
HHI 190 (315 markets)10/10
65/187 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($501,791 / $612,697)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+390,691
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Whale
$4,482,073 invested
High Roller
$5,617/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#72$573,006Vol: $16,670,397
CRYPTO#1,675,233$-285,619Vol: $4,854,798
SPORTS#1,311$52,850Vol: $2,380,568
💰 FINANCE#655,724$-2,789Vol: $575,626
💻 TECH#46$31,807Vol: $380,543
🎭 CULTURE#54$108,994Vol: $308,738
📈 ECONOMICS#435$16,127Vol: $241,363
📢 MENTIONS#176,306$-4,356Vol: $8,800
🌤️ WEATHER#7,853$82Vol: $849

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$385,872
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,562,511
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
373
total markets
Trades
16590B / 4778S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~473d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8,274
Vol: $0
Week
$42,900
Vol: $0
Month
$2,093
Vol: $19,072
All Time
$385,872
Vol: $26,562,511

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
106W / 209L events
Realized PnL
$390,691
Win Rate
34%
106W / 209L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$18,885
Avg Loss
$-6,950

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,059,568 (2.712037041065989% of PnL)

Top Winners

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$720,371
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$243,780
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$95,416
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$89,036
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$64,630
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$63,165
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$55,622
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$53,262
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$51,157
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$47,301

Top Losers

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$-99,281
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-71,162
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$-63,195
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?$-50,782
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-50,038
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-42,641
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$-40,553
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-40,407
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$-39,521
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$-37,580

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.178
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.162
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.1m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 8.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency0.5 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
51.23
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.9%
Mid (20-55c)34.4%
High (>55c)10.7%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 5:34:40 AM8 trades$260,2660 min
12/3/2025, 3:15:35 PM1 trades$178,4470 min
5/9/2026, 2:05:46 AM41 trades$128,8108 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:29 PM10 trades$100,5600 min
4/28/2026, 12:44:48 PM29 trades$92,5016 min
2/28/2026, 6:19:55 AM70 trades$74,75513 min
9/11/2024, 4:20:00 AM5 trades$68,8753 min
8/2/2026, 2:10:59 AM22 trades$67,5300 min
7/15/2026, 4:05:07 PM19 trades$65,2350 min
7/20/2026, 10:28:58 PM13 trades$64,37210 min
2/28/2026, 1:35:17 PM15 trades$63,4211 min
2/28/2026, 1:44:23 PM2 trades$63,0820 min
4/28/2026, 6:23:52 PM3 trades$57,8251 min
6/18/2026, 6:54:22 PM14 trades$55,5010 min
7/19/2026, 3:52:03 AM8 trades$51,8591 min
4/28/2026, 9:58:26 PM17 trades$51,1657 min
4/1/2026, 3:45:13 PM27 trades$50,2851 min
8/4/2024, 6:34:51 PM2 trades$47,4310 min
6/5/2026, 2:33:37 PM13 trades$46,1581 min
1/15/2026, 12:40:28 PM49 trades$45,57336 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
07-16
09-22
12-17
03-24
05-16
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 545 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 51.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.9 / M34.4 / H10.7