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@LucasMeow

#53399

0x7f3c8979d0afa00007bae4747d5347122af05613

648d· 168 markets · 6480 tradesVol: $12,483,0472026-05-17T08:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 62.35x15/15
Sharpe 0.74614/15
Sortino 9057416.45910/10
EV $+0.36610/10
HHI 22110/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

LucasMeow is an elite-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #533 globally with a net profit of approximately $290,000. Over 672 days, they have executed 6,480 trades across 168 markets, totaling over $12 million in trading volume. Their portfolio value stands near $800,000, reflecting a consistent upward equity trend. The trader’s Smart Score of 99/100 underscores their expertise and effectiveness in navigating the platform.

LucasMeow appears to favor a high-frequency, low-risk approach, characterized by a relatively low win rate of 22.4% but a strong ability to maintain profitability. Their profit factor is low at 0.03, suggesting that winning trades contribute significantly more to gains than losing trades deduct. The trader rarely sells positions early, as indicated by a 7% sell rate, and avoids weather markets entirely. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.75 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, supported by no recorded drawdown durations, implying disciplined risk management.

The main strength of LucasMeow lies in their capacity to grow equity steadily with a sniper-like precision, as reflected in top badges like “Sniper” and “Diamond Hands.” However, the low profit factor and win rate suggest reliance on a few large wins, which could be a double-edged sword if market conditions change. Overall, LucasMeow’s human-driven, consistent strategy on Polymarket demonstrates skillful trading but may require vigilance to manage potential volatility risks.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+289,837
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
Whale
$11,511,933
Consistent
31/32 days
High Roller
$17,131/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#81$283,358Vol: $12,103,347
🏛️ POLITICS#6,030$4,816Vol: $310,000
📈 ECONOMICS#1,855$1,662Vol: $69,700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$289,837
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,483,047
Total Redeem
$2,164,149
Portfolio
$799,635
Predictions
168
total markets
Trades
6003B / 477S
Daily Volume
$17,131
Account Age
648d
since Aug 11, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $0
Week
$-946
Vol: $0
Month
$280
Vol: $668,800
All Time
$289,837
Vol: $12,483,047

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
53W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$283,051
Win Rate
22%
35W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$6,458
Avg Loss
$-70,211

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$128,618
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$35,169
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$9,681
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$9,519
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$6,295
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$5,789
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$5,205
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$3,135
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$2,923
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$2,600

Top Losers

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$-888,701
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$-467,571
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-359,710
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?$-312,483
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$-299,100
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$-297,251
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$-294,854
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$-274,636
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-271,695
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$-239,008

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.747
Sortino
inf
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.366
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
24.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — typical for humanSize CV 7.60 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
21 entries
<=2
31 entries
<=5
53 entries
<=10
77 entries
<=20
104 entries
<=50
141 entries
>50
27 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)97.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0.1%

Other$-8,269,505

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.1
Events covered
55

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
20 brackets
<=2
36 brackets
<=3
40 brackets
<=4
43 brackets
<=5
46 brackets
<=8
51 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/26/2025, 12:05:52 AM2 trades$990 min
3/1/2025, 9:35:06 PM1 trades$1180 min
3/24/2025, 11:00:44 PM19 trades$33,92715 min
3/24/2025, 11:21:44 PM5 trades$11,4655 min
3/24/2025, 11:45:50 PM1 trades$4,8100 min
3/24/2025, 11:53:50 PM1 trades$6,2520 min
3/25/2025, 12:01:04 AM1 trades$8360 min
3/25/2025, 12:10:04 AM1 trades$2660 min
3/25/2025, 12:18:15 AM2 trades$12,9983 min
3/25/2025, 12:39:55 AM3 trades$2,5152 min
3/25/2025, 12:49:20 AM1 trades$7,2670 min
3/25/2025, 1:01:30 AM1 trades$6270 min
3/25/2025, 1:26:06 AM3 trades$5,1071 min
3/25/2025, 3:17:48 AM1 trades$4,2440 min
3/25/2025, 3:46:10 AM2 trades$5521 min
3/25/2025, 10:15:24 AM23 trades$9564 min
3/25/2025, 10:39:48 AM1 trades$50 min
3/25/2025, 10:59:16 AM2 trades$240 min
3/25/2025, 11:10:56 AM1 trades$650 min
3/25/2025, 12:20:42 PM4 trades$3366 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-30
08-01
08-27
10-01
01-05
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.7/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.1 br/event