@LuckyChole

#3,061,21440

0x8bbe942498081a10fb587c1411d1122d2f6ab9dc

~108d· 261 markets · 9640 tradesVol: $11,878,8372026-08-02 08:52:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (194/220)20/20
0.43x (win $27,442 / loss $63,752)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3510/15
Sortino -3.4090/10
$-0.0311 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 294 (220 markets)10/10
38/53 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($38,498 / $0)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,166,357 invested
Consistent
38/53 profitable days
High Roller
$6,861/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,006$-39,031Vol: $10,605,539
CRYPTO#2,061$21,307Vol: $971,769
🎭 CULTURE#3,709$1,587Vol: $262,029
📈 ECONOMICS#619,584$-17Vol: $39,100
💰 FINANCE#14,126$158Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15,996
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,878,837
Total Redeem
$16,957
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
261
total markets
Trades
6906B / 2734S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$932
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,807
Vol: $0
Month
$1,653
Vol: $69
All Time
$-15,996
Vol: $11,878,837

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
194W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-16,928
Win Rate
88%
194W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$141
Avg Loss
$-2,656

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,515 (0.7983775829506793% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$4,863
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$4,811
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$3,841
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?$1,955
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1,670
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$1,274
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$960
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$742
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$725
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$700

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-15,220
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-12,288
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$-6,593
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-5,680
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-5,008
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-4,560
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-4,241
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-2,430
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$-2,400
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$-1,460

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.174
Sortino
-0.102
HHI
138
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
19.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
56.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.3

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 119s — normal for humanCV 7.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading1.5 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.8%
Mid (20-55c)9%
High (>55c)31.2%

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 4:00:44 PM62 trades$66,89966 min
3/13/2026, 3:57:37 PM20 trades$53,02617 min
2/23/2026, 5:23:34 PM9 trades$44,56411 min
2/23/2026, 2:59:20 PM75 trades$37,78874 min
2/28/2026, 6:12:49 PM2 trades$36,5221 min
2/19/2026, 4:16:56 PM50 trades$35,96158 min
2/25/2026, 3:20:36 PM17 trades$31,32334 min
3/18/2026, 5:38:11 PM1 trades$29,9700 min
2/20/2026, 4:43:50 PM50 trades$29,32434 min
4/14/2026, 2:25:03 PM9 trades$27,7307 min
2/22/2026, 7:08:16 PM9 trades$27,23411 min
2/20/2026, 11:36:24 AM45 trades$27,03657 min
3/11/2026, 4:44:47 PM41 trades$26,83849 min
5/13/2026, 12:04:13 PM20 trades$19,3293 min
2/22/2026, 1:41:20 PM35 trades$19,26041 min
2/21/2026, 9:50:12 PM8 trades$19,24010 min
2/23/2026, 10:41:52 AM4 trades$19,2402 min
3/11/2026, 3:59:57 PM72 trades$17,25637 min
2/24/2026, 2:54:04 PM1 trades$17,0400 min
5/12/2026, 4:54:45 PM1 trades$17,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-24
03-15
03-23
04-14
05-08
05-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.8 / M9 / H31.2