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@Luxurious-Scrap

#2,567,58097

0xa5f170e620834768435ddfdf2750eaecb9651317

99d· 2249 markets · 1706 tradesVol: $23,8592026-06-16T08:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 10.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.64012/15
Sortino 1.38710/10
EV $+0.27610/10
HHI 810/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 6%10/10

Summary

Luxurious-Scrap is an active trader on Polymarket with 1,706 trades across 1,491 markets over 89 days. Despite a high volume of $23,859, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$242.15 and ranks #2,567,580 globally. Their smart score of 97/100 places them in the elite category, indicating strong overall trading skills and consistency. The equity trend is upward, showing steady growth despite the current negative net PnL.

This trader demonstrates a preference for frequent, diversified trading, with a very low sell percentage of 1%, suggesting a long-hold strategy or confidence in positions. Luxurious-Scrap has a high win rate of 96.9% and a profit factor of 10.30, indicating effective risk management and selective market entries. The Sharpe ratio of 0.64 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the max drawdown duration of zero days suggests disciplined exit strategies and minimal exposure to prolonged losses.

Luxurious-Scrap’s key strengths lie in their consistency, disciplined approach, and ability to maintain a high win rate, as reflected by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the negative net PnL despite strong stats and their semi-bot trading style may indicate overexposure or inefficiencies in capturing larger profits. Continued monitoring on Polymarket of their evolving strategy and portfolio adjustments is advisable to better understand their long-term performance potential.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
529 wins in a row
Consistent
79/81 days
Cool Head
DD 6%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,466,052$-242Vol: $23,859

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-242
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,859
Total Redeem
$5,813
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2249
total markets
Trades
1693B / 13S
Daily Volume
$69
Account Age
99d
since Mar 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $69
Week
$-30
Vol: $463
Month
$-31
Vol: $676
All Time
$-242
Vol: $23,859

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
250W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$692
Win Rate
97%
1055W / 34L
Profit Factor
10.3x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (1.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.640
Sortino
1.387
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.276
Kelly %
87.6%
Half-Kelly
43.8%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.0
Active
Markets / Day
17.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.36
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 902s — typical for humanSize CV 0.36 — uniform orders23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness20 trades/day — suspiciously high18 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
1309 entries
<=2
1473 entries
<=5
1491 entries
<=10
1491 entries
<=20
1491 entries
<=50
1491 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)95.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.7%

Other$1,266

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1491

Single bracket

<=1
1491 brackets
<=2
1491 brackets
<=3
1491 brackets
<=4
1491 brackets
<=5
1491 brackets
<=8
1491 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 3:59:01 AM1 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 10:28:51 AM1 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 1:03:07 PM2 trades$61 min
3/23/2026, 5:58:05 PM2 trades$60 min
3/23/2026, 6:43:05 PM1 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 7:13:05 PM1 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 7:23:05 PM1 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 7:33:05 PM1 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 9:33:07 PM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 1:03:07 AM2 trades$55 min
3/24/2026, 1:48:07 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 2:08:05 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 4:23:05 AM1 trades$20 min
3/24/2026, 4:43:21 AM1 trades$20 min
3/24/2026, 5:18:07 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 5:28:05 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 5:48:07 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 6:48:07 AM1 trades$20 min
3/24/2026, 7:03:13 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 7:43:07 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
04-05
04-18
05-04
05-17
05-31
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event