@M4rketm4ker

#2,646,19963

0x791f02e7be0c8ca85da4efa8a13e540a7f66e166

~10d· 28 markets · 131 tradesVol: $9,4312026-08-04 18:12:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (5/8)16.2/20
8.04x (win $671 / loss $83)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.2036 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1989 (8 markets)2.6/10
2/3 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($72 / $659)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Consistent
2/3 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,423,401$-31Vol: $4,910
💰 FINANCE#618,296$-50Vol: $1,587
💻 TECH#207,821$-3Vol: $916
📈 ECONOMICS#641,960$-37Vol: $744
🎭 CULTURE#721,584$-19Vol: $575
⚽ SPORTS#1,233,199$-6Vol: $467
🌤️ WEATHER#159,139$-0Vol: $231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,431
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
58B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $1,423
Week
$-39
Vol: $2,163
Month
$-75
Vol: $2,722
All Time
$-146
Vol: $9,431

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
5W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-146
Win Rate
63%
5W / 3L
Profit Factor
8.04x
Avg Win
$134
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $616 (4.23194282179919% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$353
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$155
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$108
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$49
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July?$6

Top Losers

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$-72
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$-9
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.542
Sortino
inf
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.910
Kelly %
36.3%
Half-Kelly
18.1%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4125s — normal for humanCV 0.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity13 trades/day — very active2.8 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)67.2%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 6:19:27 PM4 trades$3263 min
8/4/2026, 2:49:24 AM3 trades$2112 min
7/28/2026, 10:36:16 AM7 trades$2031 min
7/27/2026, 2:47:06 PM4 trades$1890 min
7/31/2026, 3:55:12 PM2 trades$1770 min
7/29/2026, 12:16:32 PM4 trades$1550 min
7/28/2026, 10:58:59 PM14 trades$1540 min
7/27/2026, 2:06:40 PM2 trades$1430 min
7/30/2026, 7:51:12 PM2 trades$1390 min
8/3/2026, 11:10:03 AM6 trades$1280 min
8/3/2026, 6:17:50 AM7 trades$1270 min
8/4/2026, 1:48:41 AM3 trades$1240 min
7/27/2026, 2:30:07 PM6 trades$1050 min
8/1/2026, 10:53:45 PM4 trades$1000 min
7/29/2026, 11:44:24 AM1 trades$990 min
7/29/2026, 5:31:17 PM2 trades$950 min
7/26/2026, 8:59:00 PM3 trades$950 min
7/28/2026, 3:08:32 PM3 trades$930 min
7/27/2026, 7:52:54 PM5 trades$920 min
7/29/2026, 11:42:38 PM4 trades$850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-01 03:59:59
2026-08-02 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M25.9 / H67.2