@MAR2IE

#2,051,36312

0x58652176b7c7a1d753ab813405135da01c0b3eab

~153d· 135 markets · 382 tradesVol: $8,7142026-09-26 22:02:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (37/111)1.7/20
0.45x (win $10 / loss $23)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4510/15
Sortino -2.5480/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 111 (111 markets)10/10
33/107 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 2987% of peak ($21 / $1)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,265,311$-10Vol: $3,835
₿ CRYPTO#836,619$-1Vol: $1,375
💰 FINANCE#551,576$-5Vol: $977
⚽ SPORTS#909,554$-1Vol: $771
📈 ECONOMICS#353,996$-0Vol: $761
🎭 CULTURE#465,055$-0Vol: $592
💻 TECH#198,954$-1Vol: $288
🌤️ WEATHER#161,329$-0Vol: $58

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,714
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
191B / 191S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-22
Vol: $29
All Time
$-18
Vol: $8,714

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
36W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
33%
36W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.2126948775055679% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0
Trump out as President by May 31?$0
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?$0
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?$-8
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$-3
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$-2
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-2
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?$-1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$-1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?$-0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$-0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$-0
US national Solana reserve in 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.128
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.30
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 388s — normal for humanCV 0.30 — uniform order sizes10% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)93.7%

Sessions

#12
12/8/2025, 1:53:57 PM4 trades$13811 min
4/16/2026, 2:38:28 PM4 trades$1093 min
5/19/2026, 11:56:44 PM4 trades$934 min
5/18/2026, 11:11:22 PM4 trades$931 min
5/20/2026, 11:45:45 PM4 trades$932 min
5/8/2026, 3:29:40 PM4 trades$882 min
5/31/2026, 12:20:14 AM4 trades$872 min
6/3/2026, 2:08:53 PM4 trades$874 min
4/19/2026, 12:46:24 AM4 trades$812 min
11/18/2025, 2:39:53 AM2 trades$781 min
11/28/2025, 2:59:05 PM3 trades$716 min
12/1/2025, 2:27:26 PM2 trades$712 min
12/2/2025, 3:05:14 PM2 trades$712 min
12/5/2025, 1:39:21 PM2 trades$703 min
12/3/2025, 2:14:01 PM2 trades$703 min
12/4/2025, 1:42:31 PM2 trades$703 min
12/6/2025, 2:07:09 PM2 trades$702 min
12/9/2025, 2:27:04 PM2 trades$693 min
12/10/2025, 2:54:10 PM2 trades$682 min
12/17/2025, 11:27:42 AM2 trades$684 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-06
12-26
02-03
03-11
04-26
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 158 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.3 / M0 / H93.7