@MMemento
#3,067,942240x8d7069054c0b48a036fb9034ba6761b9a09772ee
~85d· 145 markets · 1385 tradesVol: $404,4262026-08-04 14:07:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (70/138)10.4/20
0.22x (win $6,836 / loss $30,550)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8190/15
Sortino -3.7650/10
$-0.1279 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 509 (138 markets)10/10
28/60 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 154064% of peak ($25,097 / $16)0/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Whale
$185,437 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24,571
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$404,426
Total Redeem
$23,661
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
949B / 436S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
70W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-24,571
Win Rate
51%
70W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-493
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,116 (0.08611385936130893% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$960
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$647
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$508
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$471
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?$471
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$429
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$347
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?$261
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?$240
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?$237
Top Losers
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-14,261
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$-5,117
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?$-2,476
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$-1,449
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?$-1,220
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-1,218
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?$-770
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-489
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-440
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$-407
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.148
HHI
435
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
39.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)74.9%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 11:00:17 PM83 trades$32,6429 min
5/19/2026, 2:20:01 PM26 trades$20,5720 min
3/9/2026, 1:44:53 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
3/14/2026, 12:34:11 AM1 trades$9,8310 min
3/12/2026, 5:37:41 PM1 trades$9,5820 min
4/7/2026, 11:21:21 PM25 trades$9,3775 min
3/9/2026, 5:51:27 PM3 trades$9,0860 min
3/9/2026, 5:01:45 PM2 trades$8,8693 min
3/22/2026, 3:18:57 PM1 trades$5,8420 min
4/2/2026, 3:38:15 PM10 trades$5,4820 min
4/1/2026, 10:26:23 PM13 trades$5,0173 min
3/21/2026, 8:01:21 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
4/23/2026, 10:19:46 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/16/2026, 11:21:32 PM2 trades$4,1070 min
3/12/2026, 4:36:55 PM4 trades$4,0120 min
8/1/2026, 1:27:57 PM61 trades$3,39722 min
3/11/2026, 2:29:11 PM3 trades$3,0000 min
3/11/2026, 1:42:23 PM12 trades$2,77412 min
3/11/2026, 5:07:51 PM2 trades$2,6913 min
4/2/2026, 2:38:29 PM33 trades$2,3846 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
03-11
03-26
05-12
06-09
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M11.7 / H74.9