@Machaon
#10,732540xe3e4bded348f8608f322a598c19dbb3c42878d04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (235/666)2.6/20
1.33x (win $132,973 / loss $99,713)6.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.55710.4/15
Sortino 2.56310/10
$+0.1216 per $1 invested6.1/10
HHI 110 (666 markets)10/10
125/307 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($26,074 / $59,334)5.2/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+14,149
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
Whale
$273,577 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#4,731$7,563Vol: $773,595
💰 FINANCE#383$14,097Vol: $379,489
⚽ SPORTS#1,875,746$-7,992Vol: $234,762
🎭 CULTURE#812,044$-1,264Vol: $219,308
₿ CRYPTO#1,368,344$-43Vol: $115,914
📈 ECONOMICS#667,013$-172Vol: $59,985
🌤️ WEATHER#296,807$-765Vol: $57,587
💻 TECH#854$1,981Vol: $24,889
📢 MENTIONS#174,463$-745Vol: $11,543
Overview
#1Net PnL
$14,149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,927,061
Total Redeem
$1,869
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
692
total markets
Trades
6154B / 2171S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~463d
Periods
#2Today
$-9
Vol: $171
Week
$67
Vol: $400
Month
$60
Vol: $420
All Time
$14,149
Vol: $1,927,061
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
234W / 432L events
Realized PnL
$14,149
Win Rate
35%
234W / 432L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$566
Avg Loss
$-237
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66,063 (4.6692205208307564% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$36,662
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$25,800
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$3,600
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$2,081
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$2,051
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $430B on January 31?$2,035
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,860
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$1,660
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,575
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$1,486
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-6,989
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-5,385
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-4,741
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4,418
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,464
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-2,361
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-2,322
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-2,072
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-2,051
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-2,012
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.029
Sortino
0.113
HHI
134
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
18.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 357s — normal for humanCV 3.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)58.1%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)20.8%
Sessions
#124/23/2026, 8:57:44 PM3 trades$10,3652 min
7/6/2026, 11:08:37 PM26 trades$9,5305 min
5/23/2026, 9:32:27 AM3 trades$8,0695 min
4/28/2026, 12:25:38 AM13 trades$5,1778 min
7/31/2026, 7:28:54 PM8 trades$4,9972 min
5/29/2026, 9:11:48 PM26 trades$4,5477 min
6/16/2026, 1:01:49 PM3 trades$4,0353 min
5/29/2026, 8:21:42 PM21 trades$3,9237 min
6/22/2026, 6:55:52 PM29 trades$3,64913 min
7/30/2026, 8:49:38 PM41 trades$3,4156 min
6/14/2026, 11:46:51 PM5 trades$3,15610 min
6/17/2026, 1:58:40 PM20 trades$2,97214 min
6/14/2026, 9:50:12 PM15 trades$2,96818 min
2/7/2025, 4:23:32 PM3 trades$2,8423 min
7/28/2026, 9:32:49 AM11 trades$2,8157 min
4/5/2026, 3:11:39 AM12 trades$2,5705 min
6/29/2026, 1:58:46 PM46 trades$2,31916 min
2/11/2025, 12:02:00 AM1 trades$2,3180 min
2/9/2025, 6:41:09 PM1 trades$2,2620 min
2/10/2025, 7:15:05 PM2 trades$2,2494 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
02-26
06-15
11-05
02-02
05-08
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.1 / M21.1 / H20.8