@MagicEightBall
#6,863820x65bf3bfd2cd0506e8e41752a01e7af7817c94b91
~338d· 328 markets · 6415 tradesVol: $2,463,2832026-08-04 22:10:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (147/318)8.1/20
3.52x (win $226,556 / loss $64,313)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.47615/15
Sortino 14.25910/10
$+0.5498 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 383 (318 markets)10/10
90/191 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($27,675 / $184,067)10/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+23,279
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 20.7 entries/market
Whale
$295,075 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#2,393$17,954Vol: $1,841,650
🎭 CULTURE#2,598$2,571Vol: $363,332
📈 ECONOMICS#681,456$-2,703Vol: $180,923
₿ CRYPTO#26,495$1,293Vol: $22,946
💰 FINANCE#6,747$511Vol: $20,306
📢 MENTIONS#575$2,815Vol: $13,627
⚽ SPORTS#1,642,768$-75Vol: $11,945
💻 TECH#12,683$22Vol: $4,321
🌤️ WEATHER#1,761$891Vol: $4,234
Overview
#1Net PnL
$23,279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,463,283
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
328
total markets
Trades
4352B / 2063S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~338d
Periods
#2Today
$-92
Vol: $11,424
Week
$-991
Vol: $42,348
Month
$-169
Vol: $42,348
All Time
$23,279
Vol: $2,463,283
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
147W / 170L events
Realized PnL
$23,279
Win Rate
46%
147W / 170L
Profit Factor
3.52x
Avg Win
$1,541
Avg Loss
$-383
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $168,118 (7.221930016362477% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$150,722
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$9,166
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$8,230
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$5,851
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$4,535
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3,930
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$2,566
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,267
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$2,198
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2,172
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-12,289
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-5,920
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,688
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-2,581
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$-2,566
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-2,356
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$-1,966
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$-1,634
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$-1,451
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-1,239
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.077
Sortino
0.578
HHI
634
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.475
Kelly %
25.8%
Half-Kelly
12.9%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
44.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 568s — normal for humanCV 6.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)14.6%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 10:34:53 PM3 trades$24,1800 min
4/14/2026, 2:39:53 PM37 trades$16,0390 min
6/14/2026, 10:12:49 PM2 trades$15,9950 min
7/30/2026, 7:55:06 PM18 trades$13,9681 min
6/4/2026, 6:29:46 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/8/2026, 6:09:43 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/10/2026, 6:57:59 PM3 trades$10,0000 min
6/20/2026, 5:39:19 AM12 trades$9,6976 min
3/5/2026, 10:24:33 AM4 trades$8,1583 min
8/4/2026, 11:00:18 AM5 trades$7,3080 min
6/21/2026, 2:54:29 PM25 trades$6,8221 min
7/27/2026, 4:45:40 AM5 trades$6,7140 min
6/10/2026, 11:05:45 AM9 trades$6,5150 min
6/11/2026, 5:22:27 PM13 trades$6,3476 min
5/15/2026, 5:03:51 PM4 trades$5,9975 min
6/15/2026, 12:58:36 PM8 trades$5,8720 min
7/1/2026, 2:21:05 PM5 trades$5,0340 min
1/30/2026, 4:29:10 PM1 trades$4,9850 min
6/12/2026, 6:28:49 AM27 trades$4,7781 min
6/12/2026, 5:07:21 AM9 trades$4,5850 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
08-10
10-01
01-03
02-28
05-11
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.69/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.4 / M28.1 / H14.6