@Mahmomar

#2,188,97910

0x263f7f02829e80892948b485f09e7fe5d1bfb621

~23d· 87 markets · 170 tradesVol: $92,7742026-08-06 07:54:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (11/56)0/20
0.86x (win $551 / loss $641)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4280/15
Sortino -2.5440/10
$-0.0704 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 660 (56 markets)9.2/10
4/16 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($357 / $267)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,425,281$-32Vol: $90,242
🎭 CULTURE#40,391$30Vol: $1,741
💰 FINANCE#589,558$-16Vol: $621
📈 ECONOMICS#598,112$-10Vol: $170

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,774
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
127B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-28
Vol: $92,774

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
11W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-27
Win Rate
20%
11W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $420 (15.448821796759942% of PnL)

Top Winners

Government shutdown on Saturday?$203
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$172
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$45
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$29
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$22
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$13
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$10
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$9
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?$5

Top Losers

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$-60
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$-50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$-40
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$-35
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-30
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$-29
US forces enter Iran by March 7?$-21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-20
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.187
HHI
148
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
20.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.73
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)96.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)2.4%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 7:47:55 PM4 trades$3322 min
2/17/2026, 4:30:51 PM22 trades$22515 min
2/28/2026, 1:51:35 PM1 trades$1770 min
7/30/2026, 7:34:51 AM27 trades$15815 min
3/26/2026, 10:04:21 PM7 trades$1034 min
3/14/2026, 2:04:13 PM6 trades$1032 min
2/12/2026, 7:45:51 PM14 trades$9521 min
3/7/2026, 1:19:03 AM2 trades$831 min
2/12/2026, 6:56:41 PM11 trades$7512 min
2/23/2026, 5:01:40 PM2 trades$701 min
3/2/2026, 8:15:59 PM2 trades$644 min
3/14/2026, 7:20:57 PM2 trades$541 min
2/12/2026, 7:14:29 PM4 trades$505 min
7/17/2026, 10:13:15 AM4 trades$500 min
3/26/2026, 6:22:27 PM4 trades$452 min
5/16/2026, 4:27:52 PM2 trades$430 min
3/8/2026, 12:51:37 PM2 trades$421 min
2/27/2026, 11:20:33 PM3 trades$411 min
3/24/2026, 1:14:13 AM1 trades$310 min
3/17/2026, 11:50:15 PM3 trades$303 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-18
02-27
03-01
03-03
03-08
03-17
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L96.1 / M1.6 / H2.4