Maikel.Nait

@Maikel.Nait

#3,021,45623

0x9fcd05af7ac830441bbad1569de8ece4338168ed

~58d· 60 markets · 587 tradesVol: $84,5392026-10-08 03:53:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (25/51)9.5/20
0.74x (win $4,198 / loss $5,708)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1980/15
Sortino -1.3770/10
$-0.1087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1014 (51 markets)7.4/10
15/28 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 206% of peak ($4,287 / $2,079)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,240$-398Vol: $48,467
⚽ SPORTS#1,804,130$-263Vol: $22,116
🌤️ WEATHER#298,725$-326Vol: $12,828
📈 ECONOMICS#592,325$-7Vol: $1,128

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-993
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,539
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
274B / 313S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$62
Vol: $0
Week
$-181
Vol: $4,265
Month
$-109
Vol: $4,677
All Time
$-993
Vol: $84,539

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
25W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-717
Win Rate
49%
25W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$168
Avg Loss
$-259

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,372 (4.700448880586611% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,994
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$890
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$488
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?$210
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$130
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$123
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$122
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$67
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$37
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$35

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,430
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-563
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-450
Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by December 31, 2026?$-314
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-300
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-201
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$-87
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?$-56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-56
Will Partido Popular win 40-43 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
1127
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.3%
Top-5 markets
67.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.5%
Mid (20-55c)34.7%
High (>55c)32.8%

Sessions

#12
8/21/2026, 4:51:01 AM21 trades$3,5374 min
4/8/2026, 2:42:25 PM4 trades$2,7500 min
4/8/2026, 2:57:05 PM4 trades$2,4521 min
5/11/2026, 4:51:23 PM8 trades$2,3894 min
6/14/2026, 10:19:09 PM13 trades$2,3533 min
4/10/2026, 11:39:29 AM17 trades$1,9537 min
4/14/2026, 2:16:25 PM16 trades$1,5269 min
6/5/2026, 6:22:52 AM12 trades$1,3607 min
5/18/2026, 5:24:03 PM7 trades$1,3372 min
4/17/2026, 3:22:40 PM13 trades$1,1645 min
5/12/2026, 6:00:48 AM2 trades$1,1630 min
4/14/2026, 5:02:06 PM7 trades$1,1483 min
6/1/2026, 6:50:53 AM5 trades$1,0261 min
4/16/2026, 4:40:12 PM21 trades$1,0123 min
4/17/2026, 2:19:38 PM15 trades$1,0025 min
4/13/2026, 1:37:15 AM4 trades$9830 min
7/22/2026, 2:24:12 PM2 trades$9120 min
7/20/2026, 8:10:30 PM7 trades$9035 min
5/9/2026, 10:22:44 PM7 trades$8734 min
4/15/2026, 10:38:54 PM3 trades$8440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-17
04-01
04-12
04-20
06-01
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.5 / M34.7 / H32.8