ManAreBrave

@ManAreBrave

#3,104,8667

0x58c6a0116e790ebf1569604efa3edaddcfeed759

~27d· 29 markets · 479 tradesVol: $290,6972026-09-10 14:22:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (2/20)0/20
0.40x (win $1,955 / loss $4,882)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4080/15
Sortino -4.6250/10
$-0.1465 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1046 (20 markets)7.3/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 308% of peak ($4,334 / $1,406)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#667,416$-5,623Vol: $166,587
🏛️ POLITICS#20,301$840Vol: $115,661
SPORTS#1,830,916$-639Vol: $7,250
🎭 CULTURE#787,892$-89Vol: $799
📈 ECONOMICS#47,636$8Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,502
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$290,697
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
120B / 359S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$516
Vol: $11,597
Week
$534
Vol: $11,597
Month
$167
Vol: $13,913
All Time
$-5,502
Vol: $290,697

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
2W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-3,710
Win Rate
10%
2W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$977
Avg Loss
$-305

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,955 (0.5269460916442048% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1,301
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$654

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-2,705
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$-414
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$-409
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$-357
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-270
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-188
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$-173
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$-75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?$-60
Chelsea wins the Premier League?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.220
Sortino
-0.231
HHI
852
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.203
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
61.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 327s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.5%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 2:07:24 AM38 trades$25,4560 min
7/7/2026, 7:47:28 AM18 trades$13,3691 min
7/15/2026, 10:41:50 AM35 trades$11,3925 min
7/7/2026, 7:11:35 AM11 trades$5,1292 min
5/29/2026, 3:26:44 PM14 trades$4,4502 min
5/26/2026, 4:56:35 AM24 trades$4,0660 min
6/6/2026, 5:58:15 PM6 trades$3,9840 min
7/22/2026, 5:50:52 AM38 trades$3,5860 min
6/25/2026, 1:16:59 PM14 trades$2,9730 min
6/7/2026, 1:58:42 AM10 trades$2,8580 min
6/13/2026, 5:37:43 PM20 trades$2,5975 min
5/30/2026, 4:15:46 AM7 trades$2,0620 min
6/3/2026, 1:50:23 AM3 trades$2,0610 min
5/30/2026, 4:26:53 AM5 trades$1,8290 min
5/11/2026, 2:21:08 AM2 trades$1,8010 min
6/12/2026, 3:35:28 PM19 trades$1,7405 min
6/30/2026, 4:06:46 PM10 trades$1,6120 min
5/11/2026, 11:01:09 AM4 trades$1,1332 min
6/29/2026, 4:49:22 PM3 trades$9870 min
6/12/2026, 5:06:46 PM2 trades$7450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
05-11
05-30
06-01
06-03
06-06
06-07
06-12
06-13
06-30
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.95/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.2 / M27.5 / H28.3