Marcoli

@Marcoli

#2,88456

0xdbbbde184ab04018ce0373c0dbe4e5fd6be805a8

~85d· 136 markets · 1283 tradesVol: $4,157,4672026-08-03 20:51:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (85/134)16.7/20
1.06x (win $329,010 / loss $309,179)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5119.6/15
Sortino 0.7737.7/10
$+0.0147 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 234 (134 markets)10/10
45/74 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 282% of peak ($108,579 / $38,468)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+46,489
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Whale
$1,353,640 invested
Consistent
45/74 profitable days
High Roller
$2,057/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,016$75,845Vol: $3,757,157
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,638$-7,462Vol: $279,968
🎭 CULTURE#815,550$-4,814Vol: $120,342

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$63,570
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,157,467
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
430B / 853S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$11,821
Vol: $41,821
Week
$11,821
Vol: $41,821
Month
$11,821
Vol: $41,821
All Time
$63,570
Vol: $4,157,467

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
85W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$46,489
Win Rate
63%
85W / 49L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$3,871
Avg Loss
$-6,441

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58,242 (1.2527955327402944% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$26,667
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?$16,035
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$15,540
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$14,371
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13,865
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$11,400
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$10,507
Will Barcelona win La Liga?$9,898
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Dominic Stephan Stricker$9,823
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?$8,647

Top Losers

Pune: Felix Gill vs Maks Kasnikowski$-22,862
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$-20,000
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?$-20,000
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaier$-19,741
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?$-18,138
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-16,000
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-13,633
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-11,657
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$-10,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?$-10,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.027
Sortino
0.040
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
19.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
57s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 57s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)34.7%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 3:24:28 PM63 trades$116,1501 min
7/18/2026, 4:14:03 PM20 trades$114,9630 min
5/14/2026, 9:55:29 AM47 trades$54,4328 min
7/11/2026, 10:12:52 PM11 trades$52,0032 min
7/20/2026, 3:23:54 PM35 trades$50,5620 min
5/14/2026, 2:28:13 PM54 trades$45,6590 min
5/10/2026, 2:49:01 PM7 trades$39,9910 min
5/14/2026, 10:45:20 AM3 trades$39,0010 min
6/17/2025, 4:36:51 PM2 trades$37,4111 min
5/14/2026, 9:37:38 AM51 trades$37,1572 min
1/28/2026, 4:55:24 PM3 trades$34,0001 min
5/10/2026, 6:49:56 PM2 trades$33,3330 min
5/12/2026, 7:01:03 PM10 trades$32,5004 min
5/23/2026, 4:31:15 PM26 trades$27,1061 min
5/15/2026, 7:08:04 PM38 trades$27,0390 min
2/27/2026, 9:11:17 AM1 trades$25,4100 min
2/26/2026, 7:38:16 PM2 trades$24,0001 min
7/20/2026, 2:26:46 PM7 trades$23,3550 min
9/10/2025, 7:38:27 AM3 trades$20,0002 min
9/24/2025, 1:00:10 PM1 trades$20,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
04-14
09-13
10-18
11-25
05-10
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 360 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.1 / M10.2 / H34.7