@Martespera1

#2,728,15710

0xcd818c58b4673b37941c75f7345b88072187bb2e

~24d· 33 markets · 130 tradesVol: $6,2912026-08-26 09:15:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (10/24)5.8/20
0.44x (win $98 / loss $220)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2980/15
Sortino -5.6310/10
$-0.1797 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2438 (24 markets)0.3/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 242% of peak ($213 / $88)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#198,951$16Vol: $4,243
💰 FINANCE#639,703$-105Vol: $1,787
🏛️ POLITICS#1,524,795$-96Vol: $144
⚽ SPORTS#1,011,723$-1Vol: $101
📈 ECONOMICS#555,685$-3Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,291
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
59B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $240
All Time
$-190
Vol: $6,291

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
10W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-188
Win Rate
42%
10W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78 (0.4165200234629125% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$43
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$24
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$12
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?$4
No airdrop in 2025?$4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$3
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1

Top Losers

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-49
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-49
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-41
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$-24
Will Solana reach $130 in February?$-18
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?$-18
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$-9
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$-5
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$-3
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.266
Sortino
-0.283
HHI
917
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.220
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.1%
Top-5 markets
55.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)47.5%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 11:06:35 AM17 trades$6361 min
8/9/2026, 10:53:37 AM14 trades$2220 min
4/17/2026, 6:27:46 PM11 trades$1880 min
1/13/2026, 8:34:30 PM2 trades$983 min
5/22/2026, 6:35:29 AM9 trades$972 min
5/12/2026, 5:35:01 AM5 trades$901 min
12/24/2025, 10:49:45 AM3 trades$862 min
6/26/2026, 6:32:19 AM9 trades$820 min
4/22/2026, 12:22:12 PM8 trades$725 min
7/27/2026, 6:52:51 AM10 trades$521 min
6/30/2026, 4:49:41 PM3 trades$500 min
12/20/2025, 12:53:58 PM1 trades$500 min
12/27/2025, 11:50:57 AM1 trades$490 min
2/5/2026, 6:51:33 PM3 trades$475 min
7/1/2026, 8:19:43 AM3 trades$460 min
7/1/2026, 7:47:50 AM3 trades$240 min
12/20/2025, 11:19:40 AM1 trades$200 min
12/24/2025, 11:06:15 AM1 trades$200 min
4/22/2026, 12:48:22 PM3 trades$200 min
4/17/2026, 6:14:06 PM2 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
12-27
12-29
01-13
02-25
06-30
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.7 / M11.9 / H47.5