@MattWalker

#2,914,4920

0x8df634e4ea3b0da1f37b87b26b545f948c689785

~88d· 39 markets · 778 tradesVol: $375,2042026-08-26 09:12:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (7/28)0/20
0.09x (win $438 / loss $4,867)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6720/15
Sortino -4.5560/10
$-0.4519 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5679 (28 markets)0/10
3/21 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 1388% of peak ($4,772 / $344)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#817,766$-854Vol: $185,622
🏛️ POLITICS#78,541$68Vol: $106,052
📈 ECONOMICS#10,023$150Vol: $74,826
₿ CRYPTO#364,870$2Vol: $7,175
📢 MENTIONS#90,900$-1Vol: $600
💻 TECH#23,236$6Vol: $528
🌤️ WEATHER#234,587$-6Vol: $200
💰 FINANCE#550,332$-5Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-640
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$375,204
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
398B / 380S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$38
Vol: $0
Week
$66
Vol: $0
Month
$-150
Vol: $0
All Time
$-640
Vol: $375,204

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
7W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-414
Win Rate
25%
7W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-232

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $408 (0.9848634816406344% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump out as President by March 31?$360
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?$31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$16
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-4,024
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$-441
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-140
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$-78
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$-42
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?$-30
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?$-20
Bill Gates charged by June 30?$-19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.239
Sortino
-0.224
HHI
2083
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.579
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41%
Top-5 markets
74.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1100s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)14.1%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 4:56:29 PM2 trades$5,6880 min
6/25/2026, 10:41:56 AM20 trades$3,3120 min
4/1/2026, 5:41:51 PM9 trades$2,1830 min
5/28/2026, 10:57:29 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/1/2026, 9:41:15 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/1/2026, 11:20:58 AM5 trades$2,0000 min
6/3/2026, 7:01:02 AM5 trades$2,0000 min
6/4/2026, 7:34:10 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/3/2026, 6:54:39 AM13 trades$1,9120 min
5/29/2026, 9:43:57 PM4 trades$1,6522 min
7/2/2026, 2:53:53 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
7/1/2026, 2:56:11 PM9 trades$1,4710 min
6/10/2026, 6:47:16 PM10 trades$1,4321 min
5/12/2026, 10:31:18 PM2 trades$1,3330 min
5/13/2026, 3:06:11 PM8 trades$1,2494 min
6/25/2026, 8:00:23 AM44 trades$1,2230 min
5/12/2026, 10:12:35 PM45 trades$1,1250 min
6/10/2026, 2:13:21 PM29 trades$1,1243 min
5/4/2026, 7:41:18 PM5 trades$1,0402 min
5/14/2026, 4:28:34 PM2 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
03-22
03-25
03-29
04-14
04-25
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 94 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.18/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.4 / M2.5 / H14.1