@Matthewkosant

#328,93251

0xddb53f9840b0c1f2e11c1c04d53f1836f228622c

~72d· 109 markets · 371 tradesVol: $17,0342026-09-21 18:55:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (19/83)0/20
1.53x (win $100 / loss $65)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.97415/15
Sortino 5.85610/10
$+0.0038 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 218 (83 markets)10/10
11/51 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($16 / $47)7.2/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+39
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#173,036$43Vol: $8,537
🏛️ POLITICS#1,023,338$-3Vol: $5,050
🎭 CULTURE#506,806$-1Vol: $2,110
CRYPTO#784,332$-0Vol: $1,132
💰 FINANCE#373,389$-0Vol: $172
📈 ECONOMICS#317,409$-0Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,034
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
198B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $10
All Time
$39
Vol: $17,034

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
19W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$39
Win Rate
23%
19W / 64L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60 (1.5095057034220531% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hawks vs. Bucks$27
Magic vs. Timberwolves$21
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers$12
Mavericks vs. Magic$11
Jazz vs. Bucks$8
Pelicans vs. Lakers$7
Nuggets vs. Jazz$5
Pacers vs. Clippers$4
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$1

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Nuggets$-13
Raptors vs. Timberwolves$-9
Thunder vs. Bulls$-8
Pacers vs. Wizards$-7
Wizards vs. Magic$-4
Celtics vs. Suns$-4
Hornets vs. Bulls$-4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$-1
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.300
HHI
400
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
15.0%
Half-Kelly
7.5%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15844s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.51
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)68.7%

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 11:02:06 PM4 trades$2920 min
3/16/2026, 1:29:19 PM3 trades$2760 min
3/29/2026, 1:50:20 PM2 trades$2080 min
3/28/2026, 3:39:09 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/19/2026, 8:01:14 PM4 trades$1900 min
4/5/2026, 4:46:47 PM4 trades$1870 min
4/8/2026, 11:27:21 AM4 trades$1850 min
4/12/2026, 3:17:41 PM4 trades$1810 min
4/21/2026, 2:13:14 PM4 trades$1770 min
3/28/2026, 2:59:47 AM2 trades$1770 min
4/15/2026, 12:29:06 AM4 trades$1730 min
3/30/2026, 3:40:57 PM2 trades$1700 min
3/30/2026, 2:51:12 AM2 trades$1690 min
4/13/2026, 6:45:13 PM4 trades$1690 min
4/5/2026, 12:06:05 PM4 trades$1690 min
3/12/2026, 6:32:03 AM2 trades$1680 min
3/27/2026, 7:59:45 PM2 trades$1680 min
4/7/2026, 5:21:57 AM4 trades$1670 min
4/6/2026, 3:20:23 AM4 trades$1630 min
3/12/2026, 12:20:51 AM2 trades$1620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
03-04
03-14
03-22
04-04
04-16
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.3 / M4 / H68.7