MerhabaKardesim

@MerhabaKardesim

#4,08069

0x3a237fba30a72dbb7722461d1b8a83ac64d70f72

~130d· 675 markets · 17045 tradesVol: $9,976,9762026-08-02 07:18:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (198/624)0.9/20
2.05x (win $680,946 / loss $332,348)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.54615/15
Sortino 6.29410/10
$+0.4064 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 517 (624 markets)9.9/10
43/107 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($162,158 / $381,215)5.5/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+42,652
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Whale
$857,717 invested
High Roller
$3,119/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,301$37,828Vol: $7,079,867
CRYPTO#11,901$3,957Vol: $895,779
SPORTS#1,866,862$-3,819Vol: $660,000
📢 MENTIONS#482$3,582Vol: $651,764
📈 ECONOMICS#2,463$1,415Vol: $478,071
💰 FINANCE#655,779$-2,799Vol: $149,257
🎭 CULTURE#2,700$2,438Vol: $61,817

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$42,601
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,976,976
Total Redeem
$3,805
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
675
total markets
Trades
10198B / 6847S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,288
Vol: $0
Week
$1,173
Vol: $0
Month
$2,372
Vol: $21,669
All Time
$42,601
Vol: $9,976,976

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
198W / 426L events
Realized PnL
$42,652
Win Rate
32%
198W / 426L
Profit Factor
2.05x
Avg Win
$3,439
Avg Loss
$-819

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $487,843 (11.43779390577431% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$389,674
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$49,114
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$49,055
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$33,178
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$23,114
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$21,619
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21,265
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$9,190
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3,745
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3,526

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-44,092
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-44,040
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-29,309
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-23,773
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-14,468
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-13,520
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-8,630
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,381
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-6,924
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-6,687

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.266
HHI
375
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.418
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
33.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
62.0
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
67.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 3.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading2.5 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)33.7%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 7:26:54 PM12 trades$260,2506 min
5/16/2026, 12:00:08 AM11 trades$200,0594 min
5/9/2026, 6:41:59 PM21 trades$100,6267 min
6/14/2026, 9:28:16 PM55 trades$44,06511 min
7/20/2026, 3:55:07 PM8 trades$41,1467 min
6/11/2026, 12:22:52 PM16 trades$26,4520 min
4/28/2026, 8:40:48 PM17 trades$25,2900 min
6/12/2026, 10:11:48 PM2 trades$20,8660 min
6/16/2026, 12:27:48 AM2 trades$20,7900 min
5/29/2026, 5:03:25 PM44 trades$19,5405 min
6/14/2026, 11:49:49 PM21 trades$18,46911 min
5/29/2026, 6:42:09 PM35 trades$17,62512 min
4/14/2026, 11:17:40 PM81 trades$16,43023 min
5/8/2026, 6:22:18 PM58 trades$13,78820 min
5/15/2026, 5:12:23 PM11 trades$13,2049 min
4/30/2026, 1:30:12 AM1292 trades$12,94676 min
6/27/2026, 12:54:08 AM68 trades$12,7051 min
6/14/2026, 3:40:18 PM65 trades$12,60639 min
4/27/2026, 6:50:34 PM21 trades$12,5013 min
4/27/2026, 5:59:36 PM34 trades$12,24719 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
04-10
04-29
05-22
06-11
06-29
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.16/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.2 / M20.1 / H33.7