@Mermir

#3,076,40017

0x9b70a7b4f017b279beb9d5352dbca55089de6cce

~13d· 47 markets · 930 tradesVol: $523,1992026-08-26 09:12:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (19/47)5.2/20
0.69x (win $62,963 / loss $90,785)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8470/15
Sortino -5.5810/10
$-0.1933 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 614 (47 markets)9.4/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 246% of peak ($46,886 / $19,064)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$143,951 invested
High Roller
$3,599/day

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,532
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$523,199
Total Redeem
$9,928
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
120B / 810S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
19W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-4,532
Win Rate
40%
19W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$3,314
Avg Loss
$-3,242

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,194 (7.103945222769711% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?$18,571
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?$8,190
Will Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?$5,433
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?$4,692
Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5$4,342
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-19?$3,556
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-02?$3,548
Hurricanes vs. Utah$2,489
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?$2,147
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?$1,996

Top Losers

Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03?$-24,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-15,963
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-03?$-9,063
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?$-5,921
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?$-4,000
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-19?$-2,318
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-03?$-2,004
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5$-2,000
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-05-01?$-2,000
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-03?$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.310
HHI
593
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.193
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
46.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule23 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 7:01:35 PM4 trades$41,1590 min
4/29/2026, 11:55:10 AM158 trades$34,83224 min
5/2/2026, 10:00:50 PM67 trades$31,2661 min
4/18/2026, 6:08:52 PM5 trades$28,1900 min
5/3/2026, 6:33:10 PM64 trades$22,6895 min
4/8/2026, 10:33:29 AM46 trades$18,0940 min
5/3/2026, 7:02:14 PM4 trades$15,4170 min
5/4/2026, 6:25:08 AM15 trades$15,1290 min
4/18/2026, 4:18:36 PM41 trades$14,1112 min
4/18/2026, 1:01:22 PM41 trades$13,3484 min
4/11/2026, 3:12:35 PM23 trades$12,8800 min
5/4/2026, 9:09:00 AM6 trades$12,6510 min
4/11/2026, 11:47:17 PM2 trades$12,4890 min
5/2/2026, 9:16:18 PM4 trades$12,4561 min
4/11/2026, 6:51:43 PM2 trades$11,5670 min
4/11/2026, 9:35:17 PM2 trades$10,8670 min
4/8/2026, 9:27:53 AM25 trades$9,7264 min
4/11/2026, 3:45:01 PM8 trades$9,2490 min
4/29/2026, 12:31:04 PM22 trades$8,6755 min
4/4/2026, 11:23:21 PM41 trades$8,4076 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-05
04-09
04-12
04-18
05-02
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
87.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M50 / H48.3