Polydata

@Metallic-Reservoir

#2,24556

0xb6c83e346ab31df6e24bc53ecb6e15c03b75b9e6

197d· 179 markets · 6847 tradesVol: $5,664,529 @shibaxiaogege2026-06-25T05:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 62%16/20
Profit Factor 0.25x0/15
Sharpe 0.3557/15
Sortino 0.7648/10
HHI 45610/10
Profit Days 51%5/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Metallic-Reservoir is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2245 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 396 days, they have completed 6,847 trades across 178 markets, generating a net profit of $74,831.36 on a total volume of $5.66 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $379,895.46, reflecting steady growth with an upward equity trend. The trader’s Smart Score of 56 indicates solid performance, while a Sharpe Ratio of 0.35 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader demonstrates a preference for diverse markets but does not engage in weather markets. With a win rate of 63.4% and a relatively low profit factor of 0.25, Metallic-Reservoir appears to adopt a risk-conscious, steady trading style. Their activity includes a notable sell percentage of 28%, implying selective exit strategies. The absence of max drawdown duration and a "Sniper" badge hint at timely trade entries and efficient risk management. Metallic-Reservoir's approach seems focused on consistent incremental gains rather than high volatility betting.

Strengths for Metallic-Reservoir include disciplined trading reflected in a strong win streak and a good Smart Score, supported by a large number of trades and diversified market exposure. However, their Profit Factor below 1 signals that losses may occasionally outweigh gains, posing a risk to long-term profitability. Additionally, the low Bot Score suggests manual or semi-automated trading, which can be both a strength in adaptability and a risk if market conditions change rapidly. Overall, Metallic-Reservoir’s data indicates a reliable Polymarket trader with balanced risk and steady growth potential.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+74,831
DCA Master
avg 27.7 entries/market
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$3,282,223
High Roller
$8,288/day
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#854$58,907Vol: $3,913,509
📈 ECONOMICS#1,225$3,412Vol: $742,424
💰 FINANCE#836$6,017Vol: $405,031
CRYPTO#12,154$3,707Vol: $379,214
SPORTS#29,931$1,251Vol: $74,365
🎭 CULTURE#14,280$185Vol: $25,429
💻 TECH#4,673$141Vol: $3,894

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,664,529
Total Redeem
$497,588
Portfolio
$379,895
Predictions
179
total markets
Trades
4937B / 1910S
Daily Volume
$8,288
Account Age
197d
since Dec 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-94
Vol: $0
Week
$-206
Vol: $27,331
Month
$2,732
Vol: $431,830
All Time
$74,831
Vol: $5,664,529

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
47W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$66,175
Win Rate
63%
97W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$2,302
Avg Loss
$-16,088

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$62,676
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$42,778
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 20$17,653
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$15,820
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10,380
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$10,160
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9,805
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$7,384
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$5,481
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$3,772

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-307,449
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-116,089
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-102,241
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$-59,338
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-48,626
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$-38,461
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$-32,515
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-31,453
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-19,120
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-16,399

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.355
Sortino
0.763
HHI
456
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.238
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — typical for humanSize CV 3.63 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.90 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
59 entries
<=2
76 entries
<=5
104 entries
<=10
121 entries
<=20
134 entries
<=50
151 entries
>50
27 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)96.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 14.5%

Warsh$-28
Other$-661,496

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
104

Single bracket

<=1
70 brackets
<=2
83 brackets
<=3
94 brackets
<=4
99 brackets
<=5
101 brackets
<=8
104 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/11/2025, 9:45:23 PM2 trades$1,4213 min
12/11/2025, 10:32:50 PM2 trades$6142 min
12/11/2025, 11:08:14 PM1 trades$7,6210 min
12/12/2025, 8:51:50 AM1 trades$19,3000 min
12/12/2025, 9:08:42 AM1 trades$1,4400 min
12/12/2025, 9:18:38 AM1 trades$5510 min
12/12/2025, 9:48:36 AM2 trades$4415 min
12/12/2025, 10:14:32 AM5 trades$2007 min
12/12/2025, 10:28:24 AM1 trades$4500 min
12/12/2025, 10:43:48 AM5 trades$2,0424 min
12/12/2025, 10:57:36 AM3 trades$5525 min
12/12/2025, 11:10:54 AM2 trades$3240 min
12/12/2025, 11:26:18 AM3 trades$2084 min
12/12/2025, 11:36:42 AM1 trades$2770 min
12/12/2025, 11:47:34 AM2 trades$7,9591 min
12/12/2025, 12:14:06 PM1 trades$1010 min
12/12/2025, 12:20:32 PM1 trades$1,0500 min
12/12/2025, 12:31:02 PM1 trades$4,5000 min
12/12/2025, 1:15:08 PM1 trades$14,5650 min
12/12/2025, 1:56:18 PM4 trades$6914 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-15
04-10
05-15
06-16
06-23
10-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event