Polydata

@Michael5289

#4,62691

0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee

~457d· 1938 markets · 12838 tradesVol: $1,940,7132026-07-31 15:32:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (1788/1905)20/20
6.34x (win $43,389 / loss $6,847)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.37915/15
Sortino 12.43410/10
$+0.0256 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 25 (1905 markets)10/10
356/391 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($2,742 / $36,541)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+36,963
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,424,906 invested
Consistent
356/391 profitable days
High Roller
$2,740/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
69 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#3,220$12,178Vol: $1,019,429
🎭 CULTURE#818$10,051Vol: $333,735
📢 MENTIONS#1,039$1,282Vol: $152,888
🌤️ WEATHER#248$7,576Vol: $143,281
💰 FINANCE#2,798$1,658Vol: $109,055
📈 ECONOMICS#2,165$1,791Vol: $53,309
💻 TECH#1,229$1,210Vol: $45,288
SPORTS#78,417$256Vol: $34,775
CRYPTO#150,989$32Vol: $6,137

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$36,963
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,940,713
Total Redeem
$31,266
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1938
total markets
Trades
9374B / 3464S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~457d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $55
Week
$36
Vol: $5,596
Month
$1,921
Vol: $88,360
All Time
$36,963
Vol: $1,940,713

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
1788W / 117L events
Realized PnL
$36,963
Win Rate
94%
1788W / 117L
Profit Factor
6.34x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,797 (0.18387633398740322% of PnL)

Top Winners

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$3,439
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$1,883
James Comey arrested by September 30?$1,475
Will U.S. tourism decline in April?$1,469
North Korea missile launch by January 31?$1,347
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$944
Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?$932
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$760
1,400+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?$748
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$702

Top Losers

Will Trump dance today?$-2,951
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$-357
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 1?$-351
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?$-341
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$-240
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?$-205
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?$-184

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.281
Sortino
0.199
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
38.1%
Half-Kelly
19.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency3.7 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.68
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)5.7%
High (>55c)92.1%

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 9:09:25 PM95 trades$16,16130 min
6/18/2026, 4:46:44 PM8 trades$11,3746 min
1/12/2026, 4:46:28 AM18 trades$10,86519 min
2/13/2026, 3:06:01 PM13 trades$10,4739 min
1/13/2026, 4:59:13 AM9 trades$10,3727 min
11/20/2025, 1:27:09 AM12 trades$9,90917 min
2/2/2026, 9:46:00 PM17 trades$9,68219 min
1/27/2026, 9:22:29 AM10 trades$9,0556 min
4/30/2026, 8:03:08 PM10 trades$9,04913 min
3/4/2026, 6:25:29 PM2 trades$8,9911 min
1/13/2026, 7:54:42 PM6 trades$8,0946 min
10/10/2025, 5:53:46 PM10 trades$7,9447 min
5/22/2026, 11:45:08 AM55 trades$7,2137 min
2/4/2026, 4:34:33 PM2 trades$6,9930 min
7/20/2026, 5:14:15 PM51 trades$6,92511 min
5/1/2026, 3:43:10 AM23 trades$6,9153 min
3/6/2026, 2:31:31 AM2 trades$6,7380 min
1/16/2026, 4:40:42 AM4 trades$6,3204 min
2/12/2026, 1:55:37 AM12 trades$6,2844 min
3/26/2026, 3:03:21 PM7 trades$6,2386 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
05-16
08-01
10-28
01-14
04-03
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M5.7 / H92.1