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@Mindless-Monopoly

#1,16334

0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867

369d· 1901 markets · 3464 tradesVol: $2,695,8462026-06-21T04:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.76x0/15
HHI 4710/10
Profit Days 45%4/10

Summary

Mindless-Monopoly is an active trader on Polymarket with a solid track record, ranking #1163 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 215 days, they executed 3,464 trades across 771 markets, accumulating a net profit of $151,958.59 on a total volume of nearly $2.7 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 34/100, their portfolio value remains modest at $155.70, reflecting a cautious capital allocation.

This trader’s style favors a high win rate of 72.5%, indicating consistent success in individual trades, although the profit factor of 0.76 and a negative Sharpe Ratio (-0.09) suggest limited risk-adjusted returns and some exposure to volatility. Mindless-Monopoly rarely sells positions (4%), showing a preference for holding rather than frequent exits. They avoid weather markets entirely and appear to trade manually, supported by a low Bot Score of 10/100. Their trading approach leans toward steady, incremental gains rather than aggressive speculation.

Mindless-Monopoly’s strengths include a strong winning consistency and an upward equity trend, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands that highlight precision and patience. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio raise concerns about the efficiency of their risk management and return quality. The small portfolio value relative to total volume suggests limited capital deployment, which could constrain potential profits despite favorable trade outcomes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+151,959
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
79 wins in a row
Whale
$849,115
High Roller
$3,949/day

Categories

7
SPORTS#491$147,756Vol: $2,513,909
CRYPTO#1,221,109$-22Vol: $15,720
📢 MENTIONS#136,198$-20Vol: $1,182
🏛️ POLITICS#1,318,158$-16Vol: $1,080
🎭 CULTURE#25,021$70Vol: $880
💰 FINANCE#594,490$-48Vol: $590
🌤️ WEATHER#227,418$-7Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$151,959
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,695,846
Total Redeem
$639,963
Portfolio
$156
Predictions
1901
total markets
Trades
3310B / 154S
Daily Volume
$3,949
Account Age
369d
since Jun 23, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$612
Vol: $8,500
Week
$26,640
Vol: $8,500
Month
$55,184
Vol: $362,061
All Time
$151,959
Vol: $2,695,846

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
251W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$338,644
Win Rate
73%
404W / 153L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$533
Avg Loss
$-1,849

Top Winners

Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5$11,072
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?$8,697
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$8,130
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche$6,457
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Draw at halftime?$6,426
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$5,834
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$5,461
Set 1 Winner: Arias/Ingildsen vs Forcano/Vervoort$5,401
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Kilian Feldbausch$4,390
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)$4,085

Top Losers

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians$-11,083
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$-8,411
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)$-8,194
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderab$-7,311
T20 World Cup: England vs India$-7,290
Frances Tiafoe vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5$-6,899
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?$-6,380
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harris$-6,339
Split: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicak$-5,898
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies$-5,739

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.133
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.091
Kelly %
16.2%
Half-Kelly
8.1%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
52.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 2.68 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.29 — human randomness20 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
424 entries
<=2
539 entries
<=5
637 entries
<=10
699 entries
<=20
745 entries
<=50
763 entries
>50
8 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)31%
High (>55c)59.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 10.4%

Paris$893
Shanghai$328
Chicago$221
Dallas$190
Atlanta$74
Chongqing$71
Chengdu$41
London$0
Seoul$-393
Austin$-632
Toronto$-806
Milan$-921
Kazan win$-1,057
New York City$-1,460
Miami$-3,377
São Paulo$-4,625
Los Angeles$-7,819
Lucknow$-7,851

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
666

Single bracket

<=1
596 brackets
<=2
644 brackets
<=3
657 brackets
<=4
663 brackets
<=5
665 brackets
<=8
666 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/28/2025, 12:50:31 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/11/2026, 3:55:10 PM1 trades$8140 min
1/12/2026, 12:13:54 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/14/2026, 5:01:26 PM1 trades$330 min
1/14/2026, 5:31:16 PM1 trades$330 min
1/14/2026, 5:36:34 PM2 trades$392 min
1/14/2026, 5:45:54 PM1 trades$120 min
1/14/2026, 5:53:50 PM19 trades$80228 min
1/14/2026, 6:27:48 PM1 trades$900 min
1/14/2026, 6:45:44 PM1 trades$1050 min
1/14/2026, 7:31:06 PM1 trades$30 min
1/14/2026, 7:58:24 PM1 trades$20 min
1/14/2026, 8:12:50 PM1 trades$3130 min
1/14/2026, 8:27:04 PM2 trades$421 min
1/14/2026, 8:36:18 PM2 trades$484 min
1/14/2026, 8:46:04 PM2 trades$9911 min
1/15/2026, 12:28:58 AM2 trades$2681 min
1/15/2026, 12:53:12 AM2 trades$3,1131 min
1/16/2026, 7:13:30 PM2 trades$4901 min
1/17/2026, 2:56:36 PM5 trades$8231 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
02-21
03-19
04-13
05-06
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event