MisFatty

@MisFatty

#151,36874

0xd76e083691c499573b198e84ae210a0815786083

~51d· 36 markets · 281 tradesVol: $93,8372026-09-21 18:54:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (12/30)5/20
12.90x (win $5,668 / loss $439)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.76815/15
Sortino 101.64710/10
$+0.3057 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1605 (30 markets)4.5/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($205 / $5,274)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+655
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,615,674$-434Vol: $55,640
🏛️ POLITICS#25,218$580Vol: $15,190
SPORTS#1,672,871$-78Vol: $13,473
📈 ECONOMICS#644,605$-26Vol: $7,502
🎭 CULTURE#340,721$0Vol: $1,726
💰 FINANCE#11,746$216Vol: $307

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$258
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,837
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
150B / 131S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$258
Vol: $93,837

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
12W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$655
Win Rate
40%
12W / 18L
Profit Factor
12.9x
Avg Win
$472
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,507 (6.875797150093065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum all time high before 2026?$1,915
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1,415
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,176
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?$481
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 6?$216
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$124
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$118
Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona$86
Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?$45
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)$42

Top Losers

Will Spain beat Portugal?$-150
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-45
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?$-23
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$-22
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$-19
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-16
Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?$-16
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$-10
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.399
Sortino
4.665
HHI
365
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.695
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 264s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.7%
Mid (20-55c)44%
High (>55c)17.3%

Sessions

#12
8/19/2026, 3:21:22 PM38 trades$12,7181 min
5/18/2026, 6:46:12 AM10 trades$6,1010 min
5/18/2026, 6:20:01 AM24 trades$4,5260 min
4/18/2026, 8:43:10 AM10 trades$2,3820 min
8/22/2025, 9:06:10 PM2 trades$2,2220 min
4/12/2026, 12:57:23 PM2 trades$1,5140 min
4/13/2026, 8:18:37 PM2 trades$1,4000 min
3/16/2026, 2:15:21 PM1 trades$8450 min
3/17/2026, 2:27:17 PM1 trades$8450 min
3/18/2026, 1:37:31 PM1 trades$7570 min
3/18/2026, 3:54:45 PM1 trades$7570 min
5/18/2026, 6:53:19 AM3 trades$6930 min
4/26/2026, 6:52:52 PM1 trades$6760 min
3/11/2026, 2:21:35 PM1 trades$6390 min
3/2/2026, 12:11:25 AM2 trades$6390 min
3/2/2026, 12:02:09 AM1 trades$5980 min
5/7/2026, 11:54:30 AM1 trades$4720 min
1/22/2026, 3:28:20 PM2 trades$4603 min
1/21/2026, 5:21:28 PM1 trades$4400 min
4/16/2026, 9:48:22 AM7 trades$4022 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
05-15
11-21
01-07
01-22
03-02
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.7 / M44 / H17.3