MisTKy

@MisTKy

#59171

0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b

~269d· 720 markets · 74979 tradesVol: $73,640,924 @MiSTkyGo2026-10-07 21:35:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (443/628)20/20
1.33x (win $5,089,988 / loss $3,836,055)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.67612.7/15
Sortino 1.22110/10
$+0.0409 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 189 (628 markets)10/10
137/202 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($1,660,210 / $1,524,182)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+339,360
DCA Master
Avg 154.6 entries/market
Whale
$30,693,281 invested
Consistent
137/202 profitable days
High Roller
$55,303/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#170$284,717Vol: $57,574,791
📈 ECONOMICS#127$57,173Vol: $10,628,196
₿ CRYPTO#5,257$9,125Vol: $1,220,013
💻 TECH#1,879$724Vol: $1,160,088
⚽ SPORTS#1,931,153$-7,709Vol: $1,108,141
🎭 CULTURE#1,770$4,313Vol: $963,243
💰 FINANCE#2,842$1,632Vol: $568,079
📢 MENTIONS#181,707$-2,574Vol: $119,123
🌤️ WEATHER#1,696$975Vol: $76,605

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$341,794
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,640,924
Total Redeem
$402,440
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
720
total markets
Trades
31925B / 43054S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~269d

Periods

#2
Today
$848
Vol: $57,107
Week
$15,312
Vol: $1,835,846
Month
$46,372
Vol: $5,022,904
All Time
$341,794
Vol: $73,640,924

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
424W / 175L events
Realized PnL
$339,360
Win Rate
71%
424W / 175L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$11,490
Avg Loss
$-21,430

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,588,038 (7.62623119633114% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,215,588
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$822,975
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$549,474
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$379,090
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$375,490
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$115,313
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$93,896
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$88,122
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$83,385
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$82,404

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,117,682
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$-449,653
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-328,003
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-216,894
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-211,228
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-143,819
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-143,277
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-120,380
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-82,059
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$-69,814

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.035
Sortino
0.038
HHI
304
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
29.9%
Half-Kelly
14.9%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
135.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.5m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
84.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 3.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock135 trades/day — automation1.3 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
154.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)79.9%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:30:05 PM226 trades$310,95455 min
3/29/2026, 9:53:48 PM15 trades$300,74316 min
1/22/2026, 1:02:24 AM92 trades$246,86261 min
6/7/2026, 10:05:37 PM135 trades$242,70057 min
4/7/2026, 7:21:59 PM130 trades$231,89631 min
4/5/2026, 12:16:03 PM74 trades$202,79030 min
2/28/2026, 11:17:41 PM44 trades$196,45519 min
4/24/2026, 11:11:18 AM188 trades$174,62113 min
4/6/2026, 4:03:23 PM45 trades$171,9591 min
4/3/2026, 4:06:09 PM47 trades$161,49111 min
3/15/2026, 5:16:45 AM137 trades$160,00690 min
3/25/2026, 12:09:41 PM72 trades$156,17158 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:17 PM77 trades$147,74214 min
5/6/2026, 9:47:42 AM52 trades$145,0187 min
6/14/2026, 9:27:58 PM77 trades$142,87812 min
5/3/2026, 7:48:06 AM4 trades$142,3675 min
4/7/2026, 8:32:59 PM196 trades$140,34431 min
4/16/2026, 4:30:02 PM135 trades$139,45736 min
5/23/2026, 1:33:25 PM86 trades$137,9357 min
6/16/2026, 11:56:01 AM8 trades$136,6971 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-15
03-27
05-03
06-12
07-19
09-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 154.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M15 / H79.9