@Moishale27

#3,088,67016

0x3761a14b7d2c4fe5a34dbe2f8b411306d659203c

~24d· 52 markets · 430 tradesVol: $301,6932026-08-26 09:15:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (20/52)4.2/20
0.77x (win $25,109 / loss $32,477)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1070/15
Sortino -2.4640/10
$-0.2085 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 348 (52 markets)10/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 203% of peak ($14,541 / $7,174)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,889,028$-7,005Vol: $301,693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,005
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$301,693
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
83B / 347S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Week
$1,563
Vol: $15,384
Month
$-6,077
Vol: $126,455
All Time
$-7,005
Vol: $301,693

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
20W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-7,736
Win Rate
38%
20W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$1,255
Avg Loss
$-1,083

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,057 (1.5585632052410667% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$5,146
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$3,633
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$3,278
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$2,677
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1,427
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1,339
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$1,075
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1,037
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?$650
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$646

Top Losers

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-01?$-4,212
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-3,500
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-3,073
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?$-3,000
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31?$-1,989
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-01?$-1,849
Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)$-1,500
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-1,400
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-1,231
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-1,150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.108
Sortino
-0.116
HHI
688
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.166
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
42.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
58.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3492s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)38.6%
High (>55c)41%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 10:08:17 AM7 trades$4,7700 min
7/31/2026, 7:44:09 PM10 trades$4,6260 min
8/1/2026, 1:03:17 PM35 trades$4,4230 min
8/1/2026, 1:38:12 PM5 trades$4,2080 min
6/22/2026, 4:23:19 PM2 trades$3,9550 min
8/1/2026, 11:00:33 AM3 trades$3,6310 min
6/15/2026, 6:21:55 AM9 trades$3,5312 min
7/5/2026, 9:43:04 PM2 trades$3,4740 min
6/17/2026, 9:44:11 PM2 trades$3,3980 min
6/19/2026, 8:25:40 PM5 trades$2,6650 min
7/5/2026, 8:02:32 PM11 trades$2,4740 min
7/10/2026, 8:51:01 PM3 trades$2,3260 min
6/25/2026, 4:51:46 PM2 trades$2,3020 min
6/18/2026, 8:51:53 PM4 trades$2,0670 min
6/17/2026, 7:37:25 PM2 trades$1,9990 min
6/14/2026, 8:03:55 PM4 trades$1,8090 min
6/23/2026, 4:18:50 AM5 trades$1,6820 min
6/15/2026, 9:38:04 PM2 trades$1,6670 min
6/23/2026, 4:31:59 AM3 trades$1,6480 min
6/30/2026, 8:41:55 PM2 trades$1,6360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-18
06-22
06-27
07-05
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M38.6 / H41