@Montecarlaw

#10,98831

0xb524ffe87088b380b33059fa716fbdaf0f2c0808

~262d· 569 markets · 13762 tradesVol: $2,766,2112026-08-04 17:21:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (273/506)12/20
0.67x (win $18,098 / loss $27,070)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5700/15
Sortino -1.9210/10
$-0.0383 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 196 (506 markets)10/10
99/154 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 391% of peak ($14,191 / $3,626)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+13,775
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$233,983 invested
Consistent
99/154 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#4,967$10,967Vol: $2,093,386
🏛️ POLITICS#8,297$3,333Vol: $560,274
💰 FINANCE#651,567$-620Vol: $111,593
🎭 CULTURE#19,807$108Vol: $363
📢 MENTIONS#157,433$-54Vol: $199
💻 TECH#31,646$3Vol: $75

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,775
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,766,211
Total Redeem
$241
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
569
total markets
Trades
10872B / 2890S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~262d

Periods

#2
Today
$925
Vol: $33,060
Week
$1,057
Vol: $55,711
Month
$1,033
Vol: $55,711
All Time
$13,775
Vol: $2,766,211

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
273W / 233L events
Realized PnL
$13,775
Win Rate
54%
273W / 233L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,050 (0.43920574818445535% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2,523
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$2,035
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,492
Segovia (Doubles): Quilez/Lopez vs Navarro/Hernandez$855
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$649
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$527
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$456
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$438
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$365
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$356

Top Losers

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-3,731
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-3,352
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,289
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-1,082
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$-1,028
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-864
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-831
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-805
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-636
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-518

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.082
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
19.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 224s — normal for humanCV 5.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.3%
High (>55c)16.9%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 5:55:55 PM28 trades$12,5592 min
7/16/2026, 7:53:35 AM20 trades$9,2561 min
7/15/2026, 9:07:47 PM27 trades$6,59521 min
6/29/2026, 11:43:56 AM2 trades$6,5510 min
7/17/2026, 6:33:25 PM29 trades$5,8351 min
7/16/2026, 5:14:28 PM5 trades$5,7830 min
5/9/2026, 12:53:19 PM34 trades$5,42016 min
6/14/2026, 3:29:46 PM40 trades$4,55018 min
6/5/2026, 4:38:51 PM28 trades$4,2697 min
2/27/2026, 3:19:08 AM1 trades$4,1700 min
6/4/2026, 1:48:09 PM43 trades$4,0856 min
3/28/2026, 8:42:36 PM9 trades$4,04713 min
5/27/2026, 3:54:44 PM2 trades$3,9840 min
7/15/2026, 8:54:31 PM36 trades$3,7325 min
3/15/2026, 9:12:51 PM1 trades$3,4770 min
7/31/2026, 4:28:41 PM1 trades$3,4020 min
6/14/2026, 5:40:45 PM2 trades$3,2670 min
7/8/2026, 4:33:38 PM10 trades$3,0361 min
2/18/2026, 1:41:08 PM15 trades$2,94713 min
6/8/2026, 7:41:13 PM4 trades$2,9120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
11-21
01-04
02-23
04-30
06-11
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 142 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.7 / M10.3 / H16.9