Polydata

@MoonLambo1205

#3,064,83137

0x49e94011df9060dcc367995892faeb193e348f85

~77d· 111 markets · 2876 tradesVol: $1,841,4792026-07-31 15:31:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (66/97)19/20
0.61x (win $87,399 / loss $144,421)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5940/15
Sortino -3.8160/10
$-0.0447 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 304 (97 markets)10/10
33/53 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 1174% of peak ($68,998 / $5,878)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 25.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,275,270 invested
Consistent
33/53 profitable days
High Roller
$6,608/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#9,666$2,663Vol: $921,008
SPORTS#1,878,255$-19,961Vol: $394,710
📈 ECONOMICS#824$7,075Vol: $327,202
💰 FINANCE#656,831$-19,026Vol: $140,436
CRYPTO#24,736$1,466Vol: $31,892
💻 TECH#2,023$583Vol: $9,806
🎭 CULTURE#814,935$-4,923Vol: $7,149

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38,238
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,841,479
Total Redeem
$29,337
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
946B / 1930S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$209
Vol: $0
Week
$1,591
Vol: $94,616
Month
$-29,114
Vol: $688,574
All Time
$-38,238
Vol: $1,841,479

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
68%
66W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-38,119
Win Rate
68%
66W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$1,324
Avg Loss
$-4,814

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,990 (0.4719323047848205% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7,095
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5,821
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5,074
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4,947
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$4,794
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$4,610
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,882
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$3,390
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$2,836
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$2,437

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-20,376
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-20,160
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,634
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-10,439
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-9,225
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-9,130
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-8,467
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-5,720
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-5,159
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-5,040

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.186
Sortino
-0.175
HHI
260
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
27.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 71s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)91.3%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 4:07:01 PM83 trades$99,79020 min
6/1/2026, 5:22:32 AM31 trades$88,3364 min
4/14/2026, 2:03:45 AM87 trades$79,5668 min
6/1/2026, 1:37:31 AM37 trades$70,4404 min
5/24/2026, 12:11:50 PM111 trades$69,46012 min
5/1/2026, 5:44:14 AM62 trades$66,3494 min
6/24/2026, 7:11:56 PM59 trades$61,22014 min
6/18/2026, 12:09:40 PM74 trades$42,6958 min
7/7/2026, 7:38:22 AM34 trades$41,3056 min
6/15/2026, 5:42:43 AM6 trades$36,2441 min
6/29/2026, 1:55:32 PM91 trades$35,2413 min
7/2/2026, 6:33:04 AM21 trades$33,5212 min
7/1/2026, 2:34:53 AM49 trades$32,30618 min
5/10/2026, 8:56:09 AM34 trades$30,5996 min
7/16/2026, 4:10:55 AM21 trades$30,3272 min
7/30/2026, 8:48:59 AM36 trades$28,7913 min
6/19/2026, 7:28:20 AM83 trades$26,1053 min
7/11/2026, 5:45:25 PM27 trades$25,8832 min
7/30/2026, 5:45:30 AM50 trades$25,0194 min
7/12/2026, 4:01:19 AM26 trades$23,4721 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-03
03-07
05-18
06-12
06-30
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M7.3 / H91.3