@MoonShootBets

#48,30553

0x6491bc1d38a8715d5eccd066c57602af697b74b2

~62d· 104 markets · 982 tradesVol: $30,0882026-08-04 17:08:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (25/57)6.9/20
1.20x (win $1,875 / loss $1,566)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.77814.6/15
Sortino 1.34110/10
$+0.0434 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 579 (57 markets)9.6/10
10/21 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 254% of peak ($1,037 / $408)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+2,225
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#10,824$2,239Vol: $25,824
🎭 CULTURE#717,301$-17Vol: $3,117
💰 FINANCE#593,719$-19Vol: $471
⚽ SPORTS#1,476,592$-22Vol: $284
📈 ECONOMICS#550,659$-3Vol: $245
₿ CRYPTO#156,610$30Vol: $146

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,207
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,088
Total Redeem
$260
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
492B / 490S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $120
Week
$-81
Vol: $490
Month
$-193
Vol: $490
All Time
$2,207
Vol: $30,088

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
25W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$2,225
Win Rate
44%
25W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,431 (0.6433644070082073% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$1,118
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$216
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$97
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$65
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$60
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$54
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$52
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$34
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$28
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$23

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-368
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-300
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-172
Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$-111
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-90
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-59
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$-53
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$-50
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.054
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
17.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 71s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)37.6%
High (>55c)38.4%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 6:03:38 PM4 trades$1,2753 min
7/17/2026, 5:40:24 AM9 trades$8582 min
7/22/2026, 5:52:25 AM14 trades$6860 min
7/20/2026, 7:27:28 AM5 trades$6430 min
4/7/2026, 10:40:47 PM57 trades$61922 min
6/9/2026, 9:24:01 PM36 trades$5917 min
7/21/2026, 7:46:28 AM4 trades$4493 min
7/6/2026, 12:15:04 PM7 trades$4480 min
7/6/2026, 12:09:56 PM3 trades$4090 min
7/18/2026, 12:44:01 PM6 trades$3802 min
4/9/2026, 7:20:05 PM30 trades$3645 min
5/13/2026, 9:37:27 PM42 trades$34211 min
7/24/2026, 9:47:04 PM7 trades$3270 min
4/7/2026, 7:46:59 PM19 trades$3083 min
6/4/2026, 10:16:55 PM24 trades$2735 min
3/31/2026, 9:33:25 PM17 trades$2600 min
8/3/2026, 12:13:17 PM21 trades$2593 min
7/30/2026, 7:56:12 AM9 trades$2393 min
7/8/2026, 5:34:20 AM13 trades$2384 min
7/31/2026, 5:58:42 AM12 trades$2300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
03-28
04-01
04-09
04-23
05-02
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24 / M37.6 / H38.4