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@Mountainous-Beef

#2,928,35999

0x8f3c569792ebe53e2fb7b09464896afd33bb2f57

147d· 392 markets · 1764 tradesVol: $4,940,8702026-06-27T17:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 75%20/20
Profit Factor 9.55x15/15
Sharpe 0.75214/15
Sortino 11.37410/10
EV $+0.60510/10
HHI 5510/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Mountainous-Beef is an active trader on Polymarket with 1,764 trades across 391 markets over 144 days. Despite a high volume of $4.94 million traded, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$98,328.10, placing them at rank #2,928,359 globally. Their portfolio value is zero, indicating no open positions, and they maintain a strong Smart Score of 99/100, which denotes elite status in trading skill.

The trader favors a consistent, high-frequency style with a low sell percentage of 15%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. Mountainous-Beef has a solid win rate of 75.7% and a profit factor of 9.67, pointing to effective trade selection. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.75 shows moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of weather market exposure indicates focus on other event types. The trader’s equity trend is stable with no drawdown duration, implying disciplined risk management.

Mountainous-Beef’s strengths lie in their high win rate and consistent trading approach, supported by badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, the substantial negative PnL despite strong metrics suggests possible challenges in trade sizing or market timing. The zero portfolio value may also indicate a cautious stance or recent liquidation. Overall, Mountainous-Beef demonstrates skillful but currently unprofitable trading on Polymarket, warranting close monitoring of future performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 75%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
Whale
$1,632,760
Consistent
52/69 days
High Roller
$11,339/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,762,214$-98,328Vol: $4,940,870

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-98,328
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,940,870
Total Redeem
$48,359
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
392
total markets
Trades
1497B / 267S
Daily Volume
$11,339
Account Age
147d
since Feb 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-3,943
Vol: $103,223
Month
$-12,398
Vol: $202,097
All Time
$-98,328
Vol: $4,940,870

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
179W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$583,491
Win Rate
76%
187W / 60L
Profit Factor
9.67x
Avg Win
$3,447
Avg Loss
$-1,111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61,650 (10.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$33,783
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina$15,270
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$12,597
Bulls vs. Grizzlies$12,243
76ers vs. Celtics$10,189
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic$9,422
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx$9,245
Miami Open: Ben Shelton vs Alexander Shevchenko$9,066
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$8,965
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$8,395

Top Losers

Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score$-1,908
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-1,840
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$-1,825
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to Score$-1,815
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)$-1,795
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Kenin$-1,794
Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5$-1,787
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn$-1,765
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoor$-1,765
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs$-1,764

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.752
Sortino
11.374
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.605
Kelly %
55.6%
Half-Kelly
27.8%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
45.3m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — typical for humanSize CV 2.16 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
252 entries
<=2
301 entries
<=5
328 entries
<=10
349 entries
<=20
376 entries
<=50
389 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)57%
High (>55c)41.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.2%

Other$463,999
Miami$53,007
Madrid$30,020
Milan$20,617
Paris$10,977
Dallas$-753

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
355

Single bracket

<=1
322 brackets
<=2
352 brackets
<=3
355 brackets
<=4
355 brackets
<=5
355 brackets
<=8
355 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/9/2026, 9:10:55 PM10 trades$1,6637 min
2/9/2026, 10:57:45 PM2 trades$2,2451 min
2/10/2026, 11:01:13 AM1 trades$1,9460 min
2/14/2026, 10:32:07 PM1 trades$7530 min
3/8/2026, 11:18:03 AM11 trades$2,62111 min
3/8/2026, 11:54:03 AM2 trades$1,3340 min
3/8/2026, 12:40:09 PM1 trades$1590 min
3/8/2026, 12:46:47 PM16 trades$9,2973 min
3/8/2026, 5:13:59 PM2 trades$5,3900 min
3/8/2026, 6:15:15 PM2 trades$5,9940 min
3/8/2026, 7:12:45 PM3 trades$10,3465 min
3/8/2026, 9:13:23 PM8 trades$9,9909 min
3/8/2026, 10:24:23 PM7 trades$11,0421 min
3/8/2026, 10:48:35 PM39 trades$17,76416 min
3/9/2026, 2:29:01 AM2 trades$10,3331 min
3/10/2026, 8:21:53 PM1 trades$1,2100 min
3/10/2026, 10:01:03 PM6 trades$1,1831 min
3/20/2026, 4:57:31 PM1 trades$2,3900 min
3/20/2026, 7:06:51 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
3/20/2026, 9:41:35 PM2 trades$15,1213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-26
04-08
05-05
05-17
05-31
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event