Polydata

@Mountainous-Beef

#2,984,31498

0x8f3c569792ebe53e2fb7b09464896afd33bb2f57

147d· 405 markets · 1776 tradesVol: $5,000,2382026-07-07T08:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 75%20/20
Profit Factor 9.46x15/15
Sharpe 0.71113/15
Sortino 11.45010/10
EV $+58.58810/10
HHI 5510/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Mountainous-Beef is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 1,776 trades across 398 markets over 155 days. Despite a significant total volume of approximately $5 million, their net PnL stands at negative $100,167.80, placing them at rank #2,984,314 globally. Their elite Smart Score of 98/100 indicates strong trading skills, even though overall profitability is currently negative. The portfolio value remains stable around $3,360, suggesting cautious capital deployment.

The trader exhibits a preference for high-volume, high-frequency trading with a low sell percentage of 15%, implying a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently liquidate. A 77% win rate paired with a profit factor near 11 reflects disciplined risk management and selective market entries. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.71 and a flat equity trend indicate moderate returns relative to volatility. Notably, Mountainous-Beef avoids weather markets entirely and demonstrates patterns consistent with a human trader acting quickly rather than an automated bot.

Mountainous-Beef’s main strengths lie in consistency and a strong win streak, supported by badges such as Sniper and Consistent. Their high volume and selective selling suggest a focused strategy with disciplined exposure. Potential risks include the large negative net PnL despite a high profit factor, which may reflect occasional large losses or position sizing issues. Overall, Mountainous-Beef remains a stable, skilled trader on Polymarket but with room for improvement in profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 75%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
Whale
$1,642,101
Consistent
55/75 days
High Roller
$10,594/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,812,021$-100,168Vol: $5,000,238

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-100,168
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,000,238
Total Redeem
$55,064
Portfolio
$3,360
Predictions
405
total markets
Trades
1508B / 268S
Daily Volume
$10,594
Account Age
147d
since Feb 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$2,421
Vol: $0
Week
$1,174
Vol: $33,263
Month
$-846
Vol: $52,308
All Time
$-100,168
Vol: $5,000,238

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
184W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$598,036
Win Rate
77%
187W / 56L
Profit Factor
10.98x
Avg Win
$3,461
Avg Loss
$-1,053

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61,650 (10.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$33,783
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina$15,270
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$12,597
Bulls vs. Grizzlies$12,243
76ers vs. Celtics$10,189
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic$9,422
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx$9,245
Miami Open: Ben Shelton vs Alexander Shevchenko$9,066
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$8,965
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$8,395

Top Losers

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)$-1,795
Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5$-1,787
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs$-1,764
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Kenin$-1,756
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoor$-1,745
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn$-1,731
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Roma$-1,695
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean$-1,600
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinner$-1,600
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)$-1,599

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.711
Sortino
11.450
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$58.588
Kelly %
58.8%
Half-Kelly
29.4%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
46.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 37s — typical for humanSize CV 2.15 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness12 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
259 entries
<=2
308 entries
<=5
334 entries
<=10
356 entries
<=20
383 entries
<=50
396 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)56.7%
High (>55c)41.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.2%

Other$474,899
Miami$53,007
Madrid$27,654
Milan$20,630
Paris$12,817
Dallas$-753

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
360

Single bracket

<=1
327 brackets
<=2
357 brackets
<=3
360 brackets
<=4
360 brackets
<=5
360 brackets
<=8
360 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/9/2026, 9:10:55 PM6 trades$1,2083 min
2/9/2026, 10:58:45 PM1 trades$1,1350 min
2/10/2026, 11:01:13 AM1 trades$1,9460 min
2/14/2026, 10:32:07 PM1 trades$7530 min
3/8/2026, 11:19:45 AM8 trades$6479 min
3/8/2026, 11:54:03 AM2 trades$1,3340 min
3/8/2026, 12:46:47 PM13 trades$6,3962 min
3/8/2026, 6:15:41 PM1 trades$2,9970 min
3/8/2026, 7:17:11 PM2 trades$5,1731 min
3/8/2026, 9:13:23 PM8 trades$9,9909 min
3/8/2026, 10:24:23 PM7 trades$11,0421 min
3/8/2026, 10:48:35 PM39 trades$17,76416 min
3/9/2026, 2:29:01 AM2 trades$10,3331 min
3/10/2026, 8:21:53 PM1 trades$1,2100 min
3/10/2026, 10:01:03 PM6 trades$1,1831 min
3/20/2026, 4:57:31 PM1 trades$2,3790 min
3/20/2026, 7:06:51 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
3/20/2026, 9:41:35 PM2 trades$15,1213 min
3/20/2026, 11:06:35 PM22 trades$18,18411 min
3/20/2026, 11:25:43 PM4 trades$3,9892 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-28
04-11
05-10
05-22
06-10
07-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event