@Mugatu-eth
#3,045,38650xeff07c97c491e11e6ab7a6f4520e61f8fa5c1210
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
28% (8/29)0/20
0.88x (win $22,232 / loss $25,376)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5380/15
Sortino -0.8950/10
$-0.0293 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1690 (29 markets)4.1/10
6/21 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 119% of peak ($19,914 / $16,769)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Whale
$107,262 invested
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,352$-278Vol: $955,579
₿ CRYPTO#113,155$68Vol: $135,250
📈 ECONOMICS#674,721$-425Vol: $99,174
⚽ SPORTS#1,872,710$-5,553Vol: $41,171
🎭 CULTURE#9,564$368Vol: $29,231
💻 TECH#3,064$303Vol: $11,699
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,517
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,272,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
210B / 154S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d
Periods
#2Today
$89
Vol: $0
Month
$89
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5,517
Vol: $1,272,104
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
28%
8W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-5,517
Win Rate
28%
8W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$2,779
Avg Loss
$-1,208
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,745 (3.7599786850719377% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$18,572
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1,683
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$489
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$428
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$423
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$303
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$295
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$39
Top Losers
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-14,189
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-2,471
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$-1,470
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$-1,202
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,074
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$-791
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$-730
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-631
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-541
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-496
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
1834
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
1.7%
Half-Kelly
0.9%
Top-1 market
38.7%
Top-5 markets
68.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 3.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.1%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)13.8%
Sessions
#126/3/2026, 3:37:10 AM4 trades$67,6252 min
2/28/2026, 6:58:13 AM1 trades$25,9970 min
2/28/2026, 6:30:47 AM2 trades$24,6694 min
2/28/2026, 6:51:35 AM1 trades$24,6690 min
2/22/2026, 3:17:20 AM1 trades$9,6440 min
2/24/2026, 11:21:14 AM1 trades$8,5720 min
7/22/2026, 4:30:27 AM10 trades$8,5470 min
2/28/2026, 8:16:29 PM1 trades$7,6250 min
2/25/2026, 8:52:02 PM1 trades$7,1020 min
7/29/2026, 3:17:56 AM29 trades$6,2781 min
2/27/2026, 10:27:59 AM2 trades$6,2663 min
4/1/2026, 9:36:39 PM36 trades$6,0446 min
2/28/2026, 6:23:03 PM1 trades$5,9420 min
2/26/2026, 6:48:20 PM1 trades$5,8110 min
11/13/2025, 5:59:12 AM3 trades$5,7353 min
11/13/2025, 4:37:48 AM2 trades$4,7713 min
3/1/2026, 9:50:45 PM3 trades$3,8625 min
12/2/2025, 7:55:18 AM1 trades$3,2110 min
11/26/2025, 9:01:43 PM1 trades$2,8080 min
11/13/2025, 5:01:46 AM1 trades$2,7950 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-13
02-01
02-25
03-01
04-08
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 143 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.55/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.1 / M29 / H13.8