Mushy-Transport

@Mushy-Transport

#143,36163

0x8884545796ce2b6fa7c0ea667dc3b3926ace84ee

~100d· 171 markets · 1766 tradesVol: $106,9812026-08-04 20:08:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (28/168)0/20
2.54x (win $712 / loss $280)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.86415/15
Sortino 15.93810/10
$+0.3433 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1172 (168 markets)6.6/10
15/72 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($180 / $450)6/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+310
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#3,936$290Vol: $61,051
💰 FINANCE#580,488$-12Vol: $27,213
💻 TECH#11,757$25Vol: $13,413
CRYPTO#998,830$-4Vol: $502
🎭 CULTURE#653,749$-6Vol: $102
📢 MENTIONS#79,805$-1Vol: $28

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$310
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,981
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
171
total markets
Trades
1227B / 539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $210
Week
$7
Vol: $590
Month
$6
Vol: $733
All Time
$310
Vol: $106,981

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
28W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$310
Win Rate
17%
28W / 140L
Profit Factor
2.54x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $630 (2.031462557622256% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$511
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$90
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner$24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?$14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?$9
Games Total: O/U 2.5$7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?$5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 11?$4

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$-26
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?$-14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.097
Sortino
0.895
HHI
3225
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.346
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.4%
Top-5 markets
65.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 345s — normal for humanCV 7.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.34
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.8%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)28.6%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 5:07:31 AM4 trades$3900 min
6/18/2026, 5:58:16 AM11 trades$3201 min
6/2/2026, 12:38:20 PM2 trades$2480 min
4/24/2026, 6:29:56 AM6 trades$2140 min
6/12/2026, 4:56:10 AM5 trades$2015 min
7/27/2026, 5:11:33 AM4 trades$2000 min
6/12/2026, 5:57:21 AM2 trades$2000 min
4/24/2026, 4:41:44 AM5 trades$1530 min
4/24/2026, 3:59:24 AM9 trades$1498 min
6/8/2026, 5:43:22 AM11 trades$1326 min
6/2/2026, 9:27:17 AM2 trades$1110 min
4/16/2026, 4:02:00 AM5 trades$1020 min
6/8/2026, 3:15:19 AM6 trades$911 min
4/24/2026, 3:39:28 AM8 trades$911 min
5/9/2026, 5:11:33 AM3 trades$784 min
4/24/2026, 7:08:28 AM7 trades$724 min
6/7/2026, 9:48:07 AM6 trades$707 min
6/24/2026, 7:31:53 AM5 trades$640 min
6/12/2026, 5:41:28 AM2 trades$600 min
6/21/2026, 3:35:53 AM3 trades$560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-16
04-23
05-11
06-12
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
74% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.8 / M0.6 / H28.6