Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...
Near-Oats

@Near-Oats

#1,47188

0xcb5b700d9cb8d1e0e8f2975f363583183c10f243

149d· 22425 markets · 4480 tradesVol: $18,679,0852026-06-06T08:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 10.58x15/15
Sharpe 0.77314/15
Sortino 4.42210/10
EV $+8.40610/10
HHI 7210/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Near-Oats is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 4,480 trades across 509 markets over 117 days. They have accumulated a net profit of $108,372.57, ranking #1471 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Their smart score of 88/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong overall performance. The total trading volume handled is $18.68 million, and their portfolio value remains stable around $7,800.

This trader shows a preference for diverse markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely, and maintains a contrarian style with a 64.1% win rate and a profit factor of 1.69. Near-Oats combines manual and bot-assisted trading, indicated by a semi-bot score of 50/100, and demonstrates disciplined risk management with zero sell percentage and no drawdown duration. Their equity trend is flat, suggesting a steady approach without large fluctuations, and a Sharpe ratio of 0.77 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns.

Near-Oats’ strengths lie in consistent profitability and a contrarian strategy that helps capitalize on market inefficiencies. Their ability to maintain a stable portfolio with no prolonged drawdowns is notable. However, the flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility, which might constrain potential gains. The semi-bot trading style could introduce risks if automated components misalign with market conditions, though the current data reflects solid risk control overall.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+108,373
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 8.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$224,283
Consistent
79/102 days
High Roller
$1,917/day
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

1
SPORTS#641$108,356Vol: $18,677,749

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$108,373
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,679,085
Total Redeem
$162,992
Portfolio
$7,802
Predictions
22425
total markets
Trades
4480B / 0S
Daily Volume
$1,917
Account Age
149d
since Jan 28, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$144
Vol: $5,525
Week
$2,090
Vol: $233,613
Month
$2,090
Vol: $201,055
All Time
$108,373
Vol: $18,679,085

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
234W / 262L events
Realized PnL
$494,055
Win Rate
64%
123W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.69x
Avg Win
$225
Avg Loss
$-241

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,856 (25.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Ga$963
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Se$958
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Se$935
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs CHAOS (BO3) - United21 Group$909
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner$860
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$676
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 1 Winner$645
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs ENRAGE (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P$586
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner$568
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner$537

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs eSuba (BO3) - Exort Series Main Sta$-1,031
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Serie$-852
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO5) - Odyssey Cup B$-767
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner$-724
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta$-619
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner$-596
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$-562
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base$-518
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Ser$-509
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$-465

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.773
Sortino
4.422
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$8.406
Kelly %
14.8%
Half-Kelly
7.4%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.9
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
57s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.6m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 57s — typical for humanSize CV 1.32 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness53 trades/day — mass trading575 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.8
Active DCA
<=1
119 entries
<=2
199 entries
<=5
282 entries
<=10
386 entries
<=20
459 entries
<=50
496 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)49.2%
High (>55c)39.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$11,325
Atlanta$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
377

Single bracket

<=1
281 brackets
<=2
342 brackets
<=3
376 brackets
<=4
377 brackets
<=5
377 brackets
<=8
377 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/13/2026, 3:34:51 PM1 trades$50 min
3/15/2026, 3:14:33 AM1 trades$770 min
3/20/2026, 10:49:07 PM1 trades$30 min
3/21/2026, 2:00:13 PM2 trades$220 min
3/22/2026, 5:59:37 AM1 trades$450 min
3/22/2026, 6:54:49 AM1 trades$00 min
3/22/2026, 7:14:03 AM1 trades$00 min
3/22/2026, 12:36:13 PM1 trades$00 min
3/22/2026, 12:43:07 PM1 trades$10 min
3/22/2026, 12:49:01 PM1 trades$00 min
3/22/2026, 1:07:19 PM1 trades$10 min
3/22/2026, 8:47:05 PM1 trades$1780 min
4/1/2026, 2:52:35 AM1 trades$40 min
4/1/2026, 3:19:29 AM1 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 3:46:09 AM2 trades$92 min
4/1/2026, 4:17:39 AM1 trades$40 min
4/1/2026, 4:32:47 AM1 trades$10 min
4/1/2026, 4:40:15 AM1 trades$40 min
4/29/2026, 11:41:04 AM1 trades$20 min
4/29/2026, 5:24:52 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-02
03-29
04-15
05-04
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event