@NefariousX
#3,066,439350xa1ed2ae1eaaa057b6d09204cbb0808ef78a4e774
~87d· 75 markets · 1272 tradesVol: $1,370,8222026-08-02 08:52:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
66% (45/68)18.1/20
0.50x (win $40,090 / loss $79,911)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1630/15
Sortino -4.3010/10
$-0.0854 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 313 (68 markets)10/10
25/43 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($47,156 / $0)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 66%
DCA Master
Avg 16.6 entries/market
Whale
$466,147 invested
High Roller
$1,236/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,167$-4,546Vol: $929,249
📈 ECONOMICS#681,654$-7,630Vol: $259,864
🎭 CULTURE#808,562$-612Vol: $129,130
⚽ SPORTS#1,859,634$-2,568Vol: $27,633
₿ CRYPTO#1,671,856$-16,750Vol: $22,545
💰 FINANCE#37,022$24Vol: $2,400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-32,083
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,370,822
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
723B / 549S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$5,262
Vol: $0
Month
$-303
Vol: $24,018
All Time
$-32,083
Vol: $1,370,822
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
66%
45W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-32,083
Win Rate
66%
45W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$891
Avg Loss
$-3,474
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,466 (0.5132442672903907% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$7,081
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5,944
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3,442
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$2,509
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2,451
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2,361
Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?$1,595
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$1,360
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1,348
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,171
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-21,192
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-19,521
US government shutdown Saturday?$-7,608
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-5,218
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-4,869
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-4,386
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-3,537
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-2,909
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-2,869
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$-2,526
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.215
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
318
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
31.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)73.9%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 12:06:54 PM27 trades$38,2724 min
7/29/2026, 4:16:12 PM17 trades$20,6283 min
5/27/2026, 12:10:12 AM6 trades$20,3371 min
5/28/2026, 2:59:12 AM5 trades$18,6590 min
11/5/2025, 1:16:47 AM2 trades$18,5110 min
1/30/2026, 12:08:18 AM2 trades$17,9720 min
5/26/2026, 2:28:29 PM7 trades$16,1084 min
4/24/2026, 6:00:02 PM44 trades$15,95234 min
5/28/2026, 2:05:57 PM14 trades$15,5488 min
5/20/2026, 1:48:06 PM36 trades$14,77316 min
11/6/2025, 3:11:31 PM5 trades$12,2197 min
5/29/2026, 6:20:27 PM20 trades$11,2090 min
7/1/2026, 2:16:55 PM5 trades$10,6754 min
8/1/2026, 8:16:29 AM1 trades$10,0630 min
7/29/2026, 10:07:39 PM11 trades$9,8731 min
11/5/2025, 2:48:09 AM1 trades$9,6210 min
4/26/2026, 6:58:36 PM10 trades$9,0201 min
1/20/2026, 4:39:10 PM1 trades$7,6270 min
1/20/2026, 4:55:36 PM1 trades$7,6270 min
11/5/2025, 3:36:51 AM1 trades$7,6170 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-08
11-01
12-10
12-30
04-25
05-22
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M20.9 / H73.9