Neogenesis

@Neogenesis

#3,131,41638

0x60128b4866c53bd4b722134fba408acd83ff7cd2

~169d· 272 markets · 785 tradesVol: $238,1722026-09-23 04:03:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (181/265)19.2/20
0.54x (win $7,538 / loss $14,067)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8930/15
Sortino -3.1060/10
$-0.0657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 111 (265 markets)10/10
83/128 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 6625% of peak ($6,629 / $100)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Whale
$99,433 invested
Consistent
83/128 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,884,496$-1,462Vol: $67,500
🎭 CULTURE#821,680$-3,298Vol: $50,324
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,433$-828Vol: $48,347
📢 MENTIONS#180,608$-1,694Vol: $33,680
₿ CRYPTO#35,806$659Vol: $25,300
📈 ECONOMICS#6,136$324Vol: $3,061
💻 TECH#10,896$34Vol: $1,924
💰 FINANCE#356,551$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,265
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$238,172
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
272
total markets
Trades
512B / 273S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$1,799
Vol: $1,170
Month
$2,610
Vol: $9,236
All Time
$-6,265
Vol: $238,172

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
181W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$-6,567
Win Rate
68%
181W / 84L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-172

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,690 (0.25728007503913364% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$1,208
New Pope before July?$258
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?$223
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$200
Will Trump say “Autopen” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$192
Kings vs. Mavericks$162
Raptors vs. Wizards$154
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?$153
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3m and $5m?$147
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$145

Top Losers

New Pope in 2025?$-2,845
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?$-885
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?$-815
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during tariff event on April 2?$-650
Will Trump say "Apple" during tariff event on April 2?$-553
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$-527
Will Trump and Elon say "DOGE" 3 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$-514
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 16?$-500
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 13?$-476
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?$-411

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.151
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
129
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
18.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2032s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)78.5%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2025, 9:48:07 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
6/29/2025, 3:59:49 AM1 trades$4,9990 min
5/4/2025, 5:53:47 PM1 trades$2,9100 min
6/10/2025, 6:26:53 PM3 trades$2,6473 min
5/15/2025, 4:44:52 AM3 trades$2,5403 min
5/16/2025, 11:02:24 AM2 trades$2,1423 min
6/7/2025, 4:39:32 PM1 trades$1,9800 min
7/11/2025, 6:32:02 AM4 trades$1,9735 min
4/2/2025, 10:24:37 PM3 trades$1,9382 min
5/13/2025, 7:43:54 AM6 trades$1,93511 min
2/26/2025, 11:33:22 AM1 trades$1,8130 min
6/6/2025, 2:50:24 AM2 trades$1,7961 min
5/29/2025, 10:55:53 AM5 trades$1,6617 min
5/22/2025, 10:38:09 AM3 trades$1,6033 min
5/27/2025, 11:59:39 AM5 trades$1,56412 min
6/13/2025, 5:14:39 PM2 trades$1,4870 min
4/7/2025, 4:31:29 PM1 trades$1,4750 min
6/18/2025, 6:35:40 PM1 trades$1,4670 min
5/12/2025, 9:16:14 AM4 trades$1,2746 min
6/13/2025, 5:59:53 AM1 trades$1,2070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-14
04-02
04-30
05-25
06-25
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 159 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M13.1 / H78.5