@Neon-Gargoyle
#10,209760x1424a9e0a0def5a86c3c6cffbd8b6c65e1b12c7f
~76d· 102 markets · 1512 tradesVol: $1,009,2452026-10-07 20:56:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (55/99)12.8/20
1.76x (win $125,493 / loss $71,149)12/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81015/15
Sortino 5.38610/10
$+0.1860 per $1 invested9.3/10
HHI 885 (99 markets)8.1/10
24/50 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($53,274 / $107,618)4.1/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+15,316
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 18.8 entries/market
Whale
$292,224 invested
High Roller
$1,198/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#2,374$18,295Vol: $975,976
📈 ECONOMICS#699,190$-4,000Vol: $19,597
💰 FINANCE#4,201$1,005Vol: $12,495
🌤️ WEATHER#295,650$-202Vol: $696
🎭 CULTURE#628,713$-4Vol: $468
₿ CRYPTO#727,410$-0Vol: $14
Overview
#1Net PnL
$15,094
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,009,245
Total Redeem
$57,079
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
102
total markets
Trades
836B / 676S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d
Periods
#2Today
$-108
Vol: $6,888
Week
$34
Vol: $9,488
Month
$31
Vol: $10,296
All Time
$15,094
Vol: $1,009,245
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
55W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$15,316
Win Rate
56%
55W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$2,282
Avg Loss
$-1,617
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89,560 (5.847435450446392% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$49,824
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$23,693
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$16,043
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$15,162
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$3,456
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,427
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,167
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1,870
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1,767
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$1,418
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-18,987
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-14,724
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-9,404
US strikes Yemen by December 31?$-5,539
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?$-4,646
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-2,642
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?$-2,466
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$-2,015
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-1,944
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-1,453
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.229
HHI
2413
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.4%
Top-5 markets
80.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 4.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.3%
Mid (20-55c)29.3%
High (>55c)38.4%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 11:23:27 PM22 trades$63,4508 min
4/7/2026, 10:53:27 PM44 trades$41,76816 min
4/7/2026, 11:53:25 PM10 trades$28,1625 min
4/9/2026, 5:52:23 PM10 trades$22,7750 min
4/20/2026, 2:39:04 PM21 trades$22,17522 min
4/11/2026, 6:27:41 PM30 trades$15,1751 min
4/2/2026, 6:31:37 PM2 trades$10,4400 min
5/21/2026, 7:57:58 AM33 trades$8,7166 min
1/13/2026, 12:27:03 PM5 trades$8,1772 min
6/7/2026, 8:39:13 PM22 trades$7,4628 min
4/4/2026, 6:24:31 PM14 trades$6,9140 min
3/1/2026, 5:54:27 PM1 trades$6,8420 min
8/2/2026, 7:43:47 PM1 trades$6,4860 min
5/22/2026, 10:21:00 PM1 trades$6,3960 min
3/9/2026, 8:39:53 PM1 trades$6,3490 min
8/31/2026, 2:55:12 PM9 trades$6,2570 min
4/5/2026, 2:07:11 PM2 trades$5,7140 min
1/14/2026, 3:37:46 PM6 trades$5,48211 min
2/28/2026, 8:07:23 AM4 trades$5,4097 min
3/16/2026, 7:42:35 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
02-04
02-28
03-16
04-08
05-21
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 113 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.83/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.3 / M29.3 / H38.4