Polydata

@Newshound

#3,21374

0x5e73afb20c2b27caccdaad9e49b97fd336576697

~567d· 1585 markets · 14952 tradesVol: $3,583,5102026-07-31 22:18:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (854/1492)13.6/20
1.44x (win $246,357 / loss $170,802)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26215/15
Sortino 2.57910/10
$+0.0624 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 96 (1492 markets)10/10
270/458 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($34,498 / $102,294)7.3/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+55,957
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,210,158 invested
High Roller
$1,891/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,181$41,993Vol: $2,673,182
📈 ECONOMICS#681,120$-6,091Vol: $382,967
💰 FINANCE#377$14,769Vol: $242,811
🎭 CULTURE#1,334$5,958Vol: $95,605
CRYPTO#36,712$693Vol: $59,372
📢 MENTIONS#156,585$-51Vol: $55,206
💻 TECH#1,256$1,175Vol: $35,711
SPORTS#1,844,571$-1,600Vol: $29,959
🌤️ WEATHER#285,853$-116Vol: $815

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$56,104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,583,510
Total Redeem
$11,477
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1585
total markets
Trades
8786B / 6166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~567d

Periods

#2
Today
$-570
Vol: $26,528
Week
$-16,748
Vol: $148,701
Month
$-9,176
Vol: $559,076
All Time
$56,104
Vol: $3,583,510

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
854W / 638L events
Realized PnL
$55,957
Win Rate
57%
854W / 638L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$288
Avg Loss
$-272

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66,029 (1.1799800919629788% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$35,849
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$17,789
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$12,391
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$10,569
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$8,782
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?$8,484
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$6,353
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$5,238
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$3,861
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3,742

Top Losers

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-11,665
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-9,311
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$-9,275
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-6,773
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-6,132
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-5,365
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-4,756
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-3,983
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-3,890
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-3,730

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.093
HHI
93
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.068
Kelly %
14.2%
Half-Kelly
7.1%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 610s — normal for humanCV 3.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency2.5 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)62.2%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 11:47:39 AM41 trades$32,4819 min
7/19/2026, 10:00:28 PM8 trades$21,9452 min
6/30/2026, 2:49:49 PM49 trades$19,31612 min
6/14/2026, 9:23:40 PM37 trades$19,11032 min
6/19/2026, 8:59:28 AM7 trades$18,7278 min
7/3/2026, 11:38:17 PM2 trades$18,7070 min
7/3/2026, 7:24:22 PM44 trades$17,6436 min
4/11/2026, 12:32:51 AM3 trades$14,9124 min
7/29/2026, 10:36:32 AM39 trades$14,46317 min
4/12/2026, 12:56:43 PM18 trades$14,1851 min
6/17/2026, 8:57:07 AM16 trades$14,16616 min
6/29/2026, 2:42:17 PM45 trades$10,9225 min
5/14/2026, 12:20:28 PM58 trades$10,79115 min
4/23/2026, 9:22:02 PM40 trades$10,7793 min
4/17/2026, 12:26:08 PM29 trades$10,65721 min
5/28/2026, 2:14:46 PM32 trades$10,6050 min
4/1/2026, 1:59:39 PM9 trades$10,1400 min
6/23/2026, 10:15:10 AM31 trades$10,0270 min
3/2/2026, 3:40:57 PM8 trades$9,5096 min
3/12/2026, 10:04:03 AM14 trades$9,23714 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
04-08
07-14
10-15
01-18
04-12
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M24.1 / H62.2