Polydata
Data is 8 days old — refreshing in background...
Nice-Perennial

@Nice-Perennial

#1,88296

0xcdb1f1ef8213c06911e4ba6a884176c5571e276c

310d· 2726 markets · 14455 tradesVol: $14,105,7152026-06-27T06:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 43.16x15/15
Sharpe 0.57111/15
Sortino 170.35310/10
EV $+1.53210/10
HHI 16710/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Nice-Perennial is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 14,455 trades executed across 293 markets over 486 days. Ranked #1882 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have amassed a net PnL of $91,283.47 on a total traded volume exceeding $14 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $54,456.73, supported by a strong Smart Score of 96/100, placing them in the elite category.

This trader primarily employs a consistent, moderately aggressive strategy, reflected in a 58.4% win rate and a profit factor of 0.18. Nice-Perennial’s trading style emphasizes timing, as indicated by their “Sniper” badge and 45% sell rate, suggesting selective exits and active position management. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.57 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration highlights good drawdown control. Notably, Nice-Perennial does not engage in weather markets, preferring other event types.

The key strengths of Nice-Perennial lie in their high trading volume, solid profitability, and disciplined approach to exits, contributing to an upward equity trend. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest some vulnerability to market volatility and occasional losses. Despite a low bot score, indicating likely human execution, their fast interface use may introduce execution risks. Overall, Nice-Perennial demonstrates effective, steady performance with manageable risks.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+91,283
DCA Master
avg 27.0 entries/market
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Whale
$2,726,122
Consistent
78/83 days
High Roller
$5,609/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#999$49,097Vol: $7,235,737
📈 ECONOMICS#408$15,102Vol: $2,150,083
💰 FINANCE#254$17,762Vol: $1,334,163
🎭 CULTURE#2,566$2,519Vol: $862,444
CRYPTO#1,579,036$-1,809Vol: $588,806
SPORTS#34,588$1,015Vol: $313,848
💻 TECH#607$2,633Vol: $250,521
📢 MENTIONS#1,745$654Vol: $162,414
🌤️ WEATHER#3,338$321Vol: $28,714

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$91,283
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,105,715
Total Redeem
$183,583
Portfolio
$54,457
Predictions
2726
total markets
Trades
7923B / 6532S
Daily Volume
$5,609
Account Age
310d
since Aug 28, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$53
Vol: $2,093
Week
$1,044
Vol: $217,946
Month
$5,958
Vol: $685,266
All Time
$91,283
Vol: $14,105,715

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
223W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$81,757
Win Rate
58%
153W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$766
Avg Loss
$-6,109

Top Winners

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$14,482
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$11,351
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10,107
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30$6,739
US government shutdown Saturday?$6,711
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeti$5,947
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$5,076
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4,570
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2,854
Prince Andrew released by February 19?$2,701

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-46,602
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-40,099
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?$-35,692
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playo$-34,741
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-32,039
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?$-29,982
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$-26,275
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$-25,681
Will the US strike Iran next?$-23,482
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States oc$-19,969

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.572
Sortino
170.353
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.532
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
20.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — typical for humanSize CV 3.29 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness48 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27
Heavy DCA
<=1
37 entries
<=2
61 entries
<=5
112 entries
<=10
151 entries
<=20
191 entries
<=50
247 entries
>50
46 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)90.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.6%

Disclosure Bill$396
Lebanon$115
Russia$-7,191
Other$-541,974

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
220

Single bracket

<=1
180 brackets
<=2
203 brackets
<=3
210 brackets
<=4
218 brackets
<=5
218 brackets
<=8
220 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/29/2025, 9:56:01 PM1 trades$4960 min
8/29/2025, 11:28:29 PM1 trades$240 min
8/30/2025, 12:43:49 AM1 trades$4780 min
8/30/2025, 9:53:23 AM1 trades$1010 min
8/30/2025, 10:07:43 AM1 trades$900 min
8/30/2025, 10:57:49 AM1 trades$120 min
8/30/2025, 11:26:25 AM1 trades$510 min
8/30/2025, 12:09:41 PM1 trades$510 min
8/30/2025, 12:23:51 PM1 trades$10 min
9/3/2025, 4:11:30 PM1 trades$950 min
9/3/2025, 4:40:14 PM2 trades$1345 min
9/12/2025, 6:27:21 PM1 trades$900 min
9/14/2025, 12:36:10 PM1 trades$5640 min
9/14/2025, 7:53:52 PM1 trades$910 min
9/15/2025, 3:44:56 PM1 trades$5700 min
9/16/2025, 6:53:06 AM1 trades$930 min
9/16/2025, 1:54:58 PM1 trades$920 min
9/16/2025, 5:28:40 PM1 trades$940 min
9/16/2025, 6:17:26 PM1 trades$2790 min
9/18/2025, 1:00:40 AM1 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-07
12-17
02-11
04-15
06-22
12-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event