@NiceDuckBro
#3,043,949330xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
~372d· 504 markets · 7403 tradesVol: $1,534,0092026-08-05 15:50:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (293/477)15.7/20
0.79x (win $84,463 / loss $107,389)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9220/15
Sortino -1.0020/10
$-0.0377 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 116 (477 markets)10/10
123/205 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($44,394 / $17,559)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 61%
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 15.0 entries/market
Whale
$607,956 invested
High Roller
$1,571/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,965$22,983Vol: $1,311,377
💰 FINANCE#658,690$-15,512Vol: $48,753
₿ CRYPTO#49,983$360Vol: $42,871
📢 MENTIONS#176,817$-5,620Vol: $22,149
🎭 CULTURE#45,841$23Vol: $18,318
📈 ECONOMICS#8,664$186Vol: $16,985
🌤️ WEATHER#2,776$454Vol: $14,287
⚽ SPORTS#72,108$304Vol: $4,757
💻 TECH#252,338$-162Vol: $274
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,988
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,534,009
Total Redeem
$351
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
504
total markets
Trades
3639B / 3764S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~372d
Periods
#2Today
$263
Vol: $2,597
Week
$-412
Vol: $5,112
Month
$-366
Vol: $5,203
All Time
$-4,988
Vol: $1,534,009
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
293W / 184L events
Realized PnL
$-5,205
Win Rate
61%
293W / 184L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$288
Avg Loss
$-587
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,651 (2.622955638901271% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$5,855
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$4,295
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$3,501
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$3,337
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$3,137
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?$3,009
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$2,929
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$2,791
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,680
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2,675
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-18,861
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-9,372
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-6,526
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?$-5,759
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-3,900
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$-3,080
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$-3,044
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$-3,040
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$-3,040
Will Leavitt say "Lebanon" during the next White House Press Briefing?$-2,840
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
135
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
17.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 722s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)40.5%
High (>55c)49.5%
Sessions
#124/21/2026, 10:09:22 PM27 trades$14,1660 min
4/21/2026, 10:14:40 PM2 trades$13,3280 min
4/25/2026, 7:43:06 PM6 trades$12,51710 min
4/1/2026, 9:17:47 PM324 trades$11,0847 min
5/1/2026, 1:38:08 AM4 trades$10,9010 min
2/5/2026, 12:28:39 PM2 trades$9,7965 min
6/30/2026, 8:02:55 AM11 trades$9,4370 min
7/23/2026, 9:23:58 PM70 trades$8,9936 min
4/9/2026, 9:40:49 PM8 trades$8,6943 min
1/17/2026, 11:15:32 AM1 trades$7,6480 min
3/11/2026, 12:27:23 AM5 trades$7,3538 min
4/25/2026, 3:53:46 PM6 trades$7,1290 min
5/26/2026, 2:54:11 PM39 trades$7,0087 min
4/24/2026, 11:58:58 PM3 trades$6,7930 min
7/29/2026, 10:36:27 PM10 trades$6,1501 min
2/5/2026, 11:25:01 AM2 trades$6,0431 min
7/29/2026, 5:19:15 PM57 trades$6,0393 min
3/31/2026, 9:57:01 PM7 trades$5,8440 min
5/21/2026, 9:05:27 PM48 trades$5,8346 min
1/28/2026, 1:29:05 AM1 trades$5,7600 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-13
09-01
11-08
01-26
03-23
05-23
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 128 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M40.5 / H49.5